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TUSK Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-07 → 2024-08-01

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Mammoth Energy Services, Inc. Common Stock OIL & GAS FIELD SERVICES, NEC (SIC 1389)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 14, 2016 🔗 www.mammothenergy.com
💰 Market Cap: $115.2M 👥 Employees: 639
Mammoth Energy Services Inc is an integrated energy services company engaged in providing products and services to enable the exploration and development of North American onshore unconventional oil and natural gas reserves as well as the construction and repair of the electric grid for private utilities, public investor-owned utilities, and co-operative utilities through infrastructure services businesses. The company had three reportable segments, which includes well completion services (Well Completion), infrastructure services (Infrastructure) and natural sand proppant services (Sand). Key revenue is generated from Infrastructure which include electric utility infrastructure services to government-funded utilities, private utilities, public investor-owned utilities, etc.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+1.58%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+9.84%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.58%
Avg Winner: +1.58%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.01%
Worst: +0.64%
Trades: 4/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.83%
Avg Winner: +4.62%
Avg Loser: -0.96%
Best: +6.38%
Worst: -1.29%
Trades: 2/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -1.14%
Avg Winner: +6.65%
Avg Loser: -3.73%
Best: +6.65%
Worst: -5.79%
Trades: 1/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: +1.98%
Avg Winner: +17.55%
Avg Loser: -3.21%
Best: +17.55%
Worst: -6.22%
Trades: 1/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -4.01%
Avg Winner: +4.26%
Avg Loser: -6.77%
Best: +4.26%
Worst: -12.45%
Trades: 1/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +9.84%
Best MFE: +26.06%
Avg Time to MFE: 26 min

On average, TUSK alerts reach +9.84% profit potential within 26 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.97%
Worst MAE: -4.18%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.97%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.98:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.98x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, TUSK typically reaches +9.84% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.07%
Best Gap +0.44%

🏭 Sector Comparison: OIL & GAS FIELD SERVICES, NEC

How TUSK compares to 12 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TUSK: +1.58% Sector: +0.06% +1.53%
EOD Gain
TUSK: -4.01% Sector: +30.18% -34.20%
Avg MFE
TUSK: +9.84% Sector: +3.58% +6.26%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TUSK alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-08-01 09:29:31 $3.98 +2.01% -0.63% -2.76% -0.75% -1.26% +2.01% +0.25% +0.25% WIN
2024-07-23 09:29:48 $4.66 +0.64% -1.29% -5.79% -6.22% -12.45% +6.01% -3.43% -0.43% WIN
2022-03-08 09:25:00 $2.27 +1.98% +2.86% -2.64% -2.64% -6.61% +5.29% -4.18% +0.44% WIN
2022-03-07 09:25:00 $1.88 +1.70% +6.38% +6.65% +17.55% +4.26% +26.06% -0.53% - WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on TUSK

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TUSK's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TUSK Strategy →

Why Analyze TUSK with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TUSK. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TUSK historically offers an average upside of +9.84% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TUSK Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, TUSK shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TUSK performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.58%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.