FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

TWO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 13 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-04 → 2023-02-13

⚠️ Small sample size (13 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Two Harbors Investment Corp. REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS (SIC 6798)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Dec 12, 2007 🔗 www.twoharborsinvestment.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.39B 👥 Employees: 477
Two Harbors Investment Corp is a real estate investment trust focused on investing in, financing, and managing residential mortgage-backed securities, or RMBS; residential mortgage loans; mortgage servicing rights; and commercial real estate. The majority of the company's investment portfolio is split between agency RMBS purchased from government-sponsored enterprises and nonagency RMBS. Two Harbors derives nearly all of its revenue in the form of interest income collected from its investments. The majority of this income is generated by available-for-sale securities, while residential mortgage loans held for investment in securitization trusts also contribute a sizable amount.
📊
13
Total Alerts
🎯
84.6%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+108.78%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.08%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 23.1%
Avg Gain: -0.38%
Avg Winner: +0.78%
Avg Loser: -0.73%
Best: +1.51%
Worst: -1.30%
Trades: 3/10

15MIN

Win Rate: 23.1%
Avg Gain: -0.74%
Avg Winner: +1.03%
Avg Loser: -1.27%
Best: +2.11%
Worst: -6.77%
Trades: 3/10

30MIN

Win Rate: 15.4%
Avg Gain: -1.02%
Avg Winner: +2.76%
Avg Loser: -1.70%
Best: +3.78%
Worst: -7.92%
Trades: 2/11

60MIN

Win Rate: 15.4%
Avg Gain: -1.34%
Avg Winner: +2.50%
Avg Loser: -2.04%
Best: +2.88%
Worst: -10.38%
Trades: 2/11

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 84.6%
Avg Gain: +108.78%
Avg Winner: +128.78%
Avg Loser: -1.23%
Best: +294.31%
Worst: -1.62%
Trades: 11/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.08%
Best MFE: +5.76%
Avg Time to MFE: 155 min

On average, TWO alerts reach +1.08% profit potential within 155 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.26%
Worst MAE: -2.67%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.26%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.86:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 13 alerts, TWO typically reaches +1.08% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 13
Gap Up % 7.7%
Avg Gap -0.45%
Best Gap +0.91%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

How TWO compares to 118 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TWO: -0.38% Sector: -0.14% -0.24%
EOD Gain
TWO: +108.78% Sector: +296893.71% -296784.93%
Avg MFE
TWO: +1.08% Sector: +2.11% -1.03%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TWO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-02-13 09:29:00 $17.09 -0.29% -0.26% -0.06% -0.18% +1.11% +1.11% -0.94% -0.82% LOSS
2023-02-03 09:25:00 $17.88 -0.36% -0.45% -0.22% -0.59% -1.62% +0.17% -0.45% -0.34% LOSS
2023-01-18 09:28:00 $17.74 +0.23% -0.20% -0.23% -0.13% -0.85% +0.39% -1.18% -1.18% WIN
2023-01-10 09:27:00 $16.41 -1.28% -1.34% -1.58% -0.73% +0.91% +1.04% -1.85% -0.73% LOSS
2022-10-07 09:25:00 $3.34 -0.60% +0.15% -2.69% -2.40% +282.04% +0.30% -1.95% -0.60% LOSS
2022-09-30 09:25:00 $3.31 +1.51% +2.11% +3.78% +2.11% +0.30% +3.93% - +0.91% WIN
2022-09-29 09:25:00 $3.84 -1.30% -6.77% -7.92% -10.38% +261.46% -0.52% -1.30% -0.78% LOSS
2022-09-27 09:25:00 $3.94 -0.51% -0.51% -1.90% -3.30% +282.74% - -0.51% -0.25% LOSS
2022-09-16 09:25:00 $4.78 -0.42% -0.88% -1.36% -0.84% +0.63% +0.42% -1.67% - LOSS
2022-08-31 09:25:00 $4.92 -0.81% -0.81% -0.61% -0.61% +294.31% +0.10% -1.73% -0.41% LOSS
2022-02-28 09:25:00 $5.03 +0.60% -0.70% -0.80% -0.99% +0.60% +1.19% -1.49% - WIN
2022-02-24 09:25:00 $4.86 -1.21% +0.82% +1.75% +2.88% +4.94% +5.76% -2.67% -1.65% LOSS
2022-02-04 09:25:00 $5.47 -0.55% -0.78% -1.37% -2.29% +287.57% +0.18% -0.64% - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 84.6% Baseline on TWO

The 84.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TWO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TWO Strategy →

Why Analyze TWO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TWO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TWO historically offers an average upside of +1.08% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TWO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 84.6%, TWO shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TWO performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +108.78%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.