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VKTX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 82 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-24 → 2025-02-11

⚠️ Small sample size (82 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Viking Therapeutics, Inc PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (SIC 2834)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Apr 29, 2015 🔗 www.vikingtherapeutics.com
💰 Market Cap: $4.73B 👥 Employees: 49
Viking Therapeutics Inc is a healthcare service provider. The company specializes in the area of biopharmaceutical development focused on metabolic and endocrine disorders. The company's clinical program pipeline consists of VK2809, VK5211, VK0214 products. VK2809 and VK0214 are orally available, tissue and receptor-subtype selective agonists of the thyroid hormone receptor beta. VK5211 is an orally available, non-steroidal selective androgen receptor modulator.
📊
82
Total Alerts
🎯
58.5%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+1.09%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+5.70%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 57.3%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +1.44%
Avg Loser: -2.02%
Best: +6.80%
Worst: -5.87%
Trades: 47/35

15MIN

Win Rate: 52.4%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +2.23%
Avg Loser: -2.34%
Best: +9.08%
Worst: -9.30%
Trades: 43/39

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.37%
Avg Winner: +3.46%
Avg Loser: -2.73%
Best: +12.99%
Worst: -9.90%
Trades: 41/41

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.23%
Avg Winner: +4.05%
Avg Loser: -3.59%
Best: +15.36%
Worst: -14.44%
Trades: 41/41

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 58.5%
Avg Gain: +1.09%
Avg Winner: +5.50%
Avg Loser: -5.30%
Best: +24.16%
Worst: -19.55%
Trades: 48/33

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.70%
Best MFE: +29.72%
Avg Time to MFE: 121 min

On average, VKTX alerts reach +5.70% profit potential within 121 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.24%
Worst MAE: -17.04%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.24%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.55:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.55x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 82 alerts, VKTX typically reaches +5.70% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 82
Gap Up % 43.9%
Avg Gap -0.09%
Best Gap +2.05%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How VKTX compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
VKTX: -0.04% Sector: -0.32% +0.28%
EOD Gain
VKTX: +1.09% Sector: +4480411.22% -4480410.14%
Avg MFE
VKTX: +5.70% Sector: +7.56% -1.85%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical VKTX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-11 09:25:07 $29.17 +2.45% +0.75% +1.71% +1.63% +2.71% +2.81% +0.10% +0.96% WIN
2025-02-06 09:29:35 $30.9 +0.23% -1.39% +2.82% +2.36% +1.81% +8.09% -3.24% +0.39% WIN
2025-01-24 09:25:10 $34.23 +0.41% +2.26% +2.04% +0.61% +0.79% +5.08% -0.12% +0.96% WIN
2025-01-15 09:28:39 $34.9 -1.35% -2.75% -2.58% -2.84% -0.11% +0.57% -4.23% -0.89% LOSS
2024-12-20 09:27:10 $44.6 -2.70% -1.79% -2.76% -2.95% -5.27% +0.90% -5.89% -0.94% LOSS
2024-12-19 09:27:00 $39.43 +1.27% +1.57% +0.22% +0.48% +5.22% +5.68% -1.34% +0.30% WIN
2024-12-18 09:26:36 $42.23 +0.89% +1.14% +0.40% +0.44% -9.35% +3.13% -0.81% +2.04% WIN
2024-11-26 09:27:13 $55.02 -1.18% -1.85% -1.41% -0.80% -2.91% +2.23% -3.03% +0.45% LOSS
2024-11-20 09:29:52 $52.98 -2.40% -2.60% -2.14% -3.94% -2.74% +0.11% -4.87% -0.53% LOSS
2024-11-18 09:29:05 $49.3 +0.59% -0.28% -1.21% -0.34% -0.39% +2.45% -1.83% -0.41% WIN
2024-11-06 09:27:24 $64.93 +1.19% +0.70% -0.15% -0.28% +1.45% +2.23% +0.49% +1.02% WIN
2024-11-05 09:28:39 $63.72 +0.11% +1.93% +3.81% +4.21% +1.43% +6.29% -1.91% -0.30% WIN
2024-11-04 09:27:42 $78.48 -2.16% -3.72% -9.90% -14.44% -19.55% +0.79% -2.14% -0.23% LOSS
2024-10-30 09:25:54 $70.26 +0.75% +0.17% +3.22% +3.44% +2.12% +6.48% -0.37% +1.05% WIN
2024-10-24 09:26:32 $64.75 +1.62% +2.30% +4.06% +10.19% +13.08% +16.86% -1.67% +1.54% WIN
2024-09-20 09:27:51 $69.97 +0.12% +1.90% +2.12% +2.60% +0.71% +3.42% -2.09% -0.67% WIN
2024-09-12 09:25:40 $62.9 +0.21% +1.32% +1.75% +2.34% -0.14% +2.80% -1.34% -0.30% WIN
2024-09-11 09:27:21 $56.98 +0.20% -0.58% -0.90% +1.79% +6.76% +7.25% -1.86% +0.44% WIN
2024-08-20 09:28:31 $63.64 +1.04% +0.81% -0.08% -1.48% +3.93% +4.86% -5.88% +0.41% WIN
2024-08-08 09:28:23 $53.46 +1.01% +1.14% +0.92% +0.72% +4.32% +6.14% -1.57% -0.30% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 58.5% Baseline on VKTX

The 58.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push VKTX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize VKTX Strategy →

Why Analyze VKTX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VKTX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, VKTX historically offers an average upside of +5.70% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 VKTX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 58.5%, VKTX shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show VKTX performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.09%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.