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VNCE Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-07-16 → 2025-01-24
⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, VNCE alerts reach +12.78% profit potential within 124 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.74%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.42x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, VNCE typically reaches +12.78% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 10.2% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-APPAREL & ACCESSORY STORES
How VNCE compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical VNCE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-24 | 09:29:50 | $4.15 | -6.47% | -10.36% | -11.32% | -17.68% | -21.20% | +1.93% | +0.24% | +0.24% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-23 | 09:29:54 | $4.37 | -3.66% | -0.92% | -0.46% | +12.57% | -10.76% | +27.46% | -8.47% | +0.23% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-16 | 09:27:51 | $1.34 | -2.24% | - | -2.99% | - | +5.97% | +8.96% | -2.99% | +5.97% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ VNCE Shows Negative Expectancy
With 50.0% win rate and -2.56% average gain, VNCE alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider VNCE for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze VNCE with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VNCE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, VNCE historically offers an average upside of +12.78% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 VNCE Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, VNCE shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests VNCE may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: VNCE shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -2.56%). This suggests VNCE is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.