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VSAT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 14 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-07-13 → 2025-02-11

⚠️ Small sample size (14 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 03, 1996 🔗 www.viasat.com
💰 Market Cap: $5.85B 👥 Employees: 7,000
Viasat Inc provides bandwidth technologies and services in three segments: communication services and defense and advanced technologies. The communication services segment provides a wide range of broadband and narrowband communications solutions across government and commercial mobility markets, as well as for residential and enterprise fixed broadband customers: and the defense and advanced technologies segment develops and offers a diverse array of resilient, vertically integrated solutions to government and commercial customers, leveraging core technical competencies in encryption, cyber security, tactical gateways, modems and waveforms. A large majority of the firm's revenue is generated from communication services segment.
📊
14
Total Alerts
🎯
42.9%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-0.84%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+4.27%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 28.6%
Avg Gain: -1.70%
Avg Winner: +0.82%
Avg Loser: -2.71%
Best: +1.13%
Worst: -5.65%
Trades: 4/10

15MIN

Win Rate: 28.6%
Avg Gain: -2.03%
Avg Winner: +4.62%
Avg Loser: -4.69%
Best: +10.89%
Worst: -8.44%
Trades: 4/10

30MIN

Win Rate: 35.7%
Avg Gain: -1.09%
Avg Winner: +4.49%
Avg Loser: -4.20%
Best: +13.98%
Worst: -6.67%
Trades: 5/9

60MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.84%
Avg Winner: +3.75%
Avg Loser: -4.29%
Best: +13.98%
Worst: -8.60%
Trades: 6/8

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 35.7%
Avg Gain: -1.27%
Avg Winner: +5.41%
Avg Loser: -4.99%
Best: +23.66%
Worst: -8.47%
Trades: 5/9

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.27%
Best MFE: +31.41%
Avg Time to MFE: 52 min

On average, VSAT alerts reach +4.27% profit potential within 52 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.96%
Worst MAE: -7.64%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.96%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.44:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 14 alerts, VSAT typically reaches +4.27% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 14
Gap Up % 42.9%
Avg Gap -0.30%
Best Gap +1.26%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES, NEC

How VSAT compares to 12 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
VSAT: -1.70% Sector: -0.36% -1.34%
EOD Gain
VSAT: -1.27% Sector: +404.57% -405.84%
Avg MFE
VSAT: +4.27% Sector: +6.49% -2.22%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical VSAT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-11 09:29:27 $8.96 +0.89% +3.85% +3.18% +2.40% -1.45% +5.02% -4.52% -0.33% WIN
2025-01-22 09:28:22 $11.5 -3.12% -5.99% -4.52% -4.04% -6.35% +0.78% -2.43% +0.13% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:25:30 $9.55 +0.42% +10.89% +13.98% +13.98% +23.66% +31.41% -1.68% +1.26% WIN
2025-01-14 09:28:04 $7.92 -2.46% -3.66% -3.35% -2.40% -5.18% -0.32% -4.67% -2.02% LOSS
2024-12-10 09:28:21 $10.0 -1.75% -5.71% -6.40% -8.60% -7.40% -0.80% -4.40% -0.80% LOSS
2024-11-25 09:29:53 $9.59 -1.77% -2.92% -1.98% +0.52% +1.25% +2.29% -5.63% -0.73% LOSS
2024-11-22 09:29:31 $9.29 -3.88% -0.86% +1.18% +2.52% +1.29% +6.03% -7.64% -2.37% LOSS
2024-11-06 09:29:22 $10.8 -0.93% -3.06% -1.67% -1.67% -4.81% +3.43% -0.19% +0.37% LOSS
2024-08-13 09:29:15 $18.29 -5.03% -6.07% -6.23% -5.58% -8.47% - -2.84% -0.05% LOSS
2023-12-22 09:27:00 $26.5 +0.83% +2.42% +2.00% +3.02% +0.38% +3.92% -0.75% +0.38% WIN
2023-11-29 09:29:00 $21.24 +1.13% +1.32% +2.10% +0.05% -1.13% +2.21% -0.85% -0.61% WIN
2023-10-12 09:27:00 $18.13 -1.76% -8.44% -4.74% -4.63% -7.34% +1.21% -1.21% +0.77% LOSS
2023-07-14 09:28:00 $31.25 -0.74% -3.20% -2.21% -3.54% -2.75% +0.74% -4.00% -0.29% LOSS
2023-07-13 09:27:00 $30.6 -5.65% -6.99% -6.67% -3.86% +0.46% +3.89% -0.65% +0.10% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ VSAT Shows Negative Expectancy

With 42.9% win rate and -0.84% average gain, VSAT alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider VSAT for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze VSAT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VSAT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, VSAT historically offers an average upside of +4.27% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 VSAT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 42.9%, VSAT shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests VSAT may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: VSAT shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.84%). This suggests VSAT is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.