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VTR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 15 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-03-14 → 2025-02-11

⚠️ Small sample size (15 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 31, 1994 🔗 www.ventasreit.com
💰 Market Cap: $36.16B 👥 Employees: 498
Ventas owns a diversified healthcare portfolio of almost 1,400 in-place properties spread across the senior housing, medical office, hospital, life science, and skilled nursing/post-acute care. The portfolio includes almost 100 properties in Canada and the United Kingdom as the company looks for additional investment opportunities in countries with mature healthcare systems that operate similarly to the United States. The firm also owns mortgages and other loans, contributing about 1% of net operating income.
📊
15
Total Alerts
🎯
60.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.21%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.10%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +0.21%
Avg Winner: +0.67%
Avg Loser: -0.49%
Best: +2.15%
Worst: -0.98%
Trades: 9/6

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.7%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +0.90%
Avg Loser: -0.56%
Best: +2.08%
Worst: -1.15%
Trades: 7/8

30MIN

Win Rate: 53.3%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.74%
Avg Loser: -0.72%
Best: +1.65%
Worst: -1.76%
Trades: 8/7

60MIN

Win Rate: 46.7%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +1.00%
Avg Loser: -0.88%
Best: +2.27%
Worst: -2.34%
Trades: 7/8

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.84%
Avg Loser: -1.34%
Best: +2.83%
Worst: -2.94%
Trades: 6/8

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.10%
Best MFE: +3.21%
Avg Time to MFE: 101 min

On average, VTR alerts reach +1.10% profit potential within 101 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.28%
Worst MAE: -1.57%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.28%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.9:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.9x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 15 alerts, VTR typically reaches +1.10% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 15
Gap Up % 53.3%
Avg Gap +0.10%
Best Gap +1.89%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

How VTR compares to 118 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
VTR: +0.21% Sector: -0.14% +0.35%
EOD Gain
VTR: +0.02% Sector: +296893.71% -296893.69%
Avg MFE
VTR: +1.10% Sector: +2.11% -1.01%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical VTR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-11 09:25:08 $59.53 +0.08% -0.82% -0.92% -0.94% +0.07% +0.13% -0.13% -0.03% WIN
2025-01-27 09:26:58 $60.85 +0.65% +2.08% +1.65% +1.46% +1.59% +2.32% +0.16% +0.54% WIN
2024-12-20 09:28:37 $57.73 +1.34% +1.13% +0.68% +0.91% +1.78% +2.77% +0.38% +1.49% WIN
2024-12-02 09:27:38 $64.07 -0.98% -1.05% -1.76% -2.34% -2.83% -0.36% -0.97% -0.70% LOSS
2024-11-14 09:28:20 $63.5 +0.24% +0.06% +0.27% +0.03% - +0.49% -0.39% - WIN
2024-10-03 09:27:25 $63.01 +0.63% +0.43% +0.84% +0.83% -0.70% +1.17% +0.13% +0.13% WIN
2024-08-12 09:28:59 $59.38 -0.62% -1.15% -0.77% -1.06% -0.67% +0.05% -1.15% -0.44% LOSS
2024-06-26 09:26:35 $49.89 -0.50% -0.23% -0.16% -0.06% -0.08% +0.42% -0.80% -0.80% LOSS
2024-06-25 09:29:43 $50.48 -0.47% -0.14% -0.61% -0.74% -1.17% +0.14% -0.34% +0.14% LOSS
2024-06-03 09:28:09 $50.3 +0.14% -0.30% -0.33% -0.06% -0.54% +0.38% -0.52% -0.28% WIN
2024-03-08 09:28:24 $43.54 +0.60% +1.17% +0.82% +0.67% +2.02% +2.25% +0.48% +0.55% WIN
2023-10-02 09:29:00 $42.59 -0.38% -0.73% -0.50% -1.60% -2.94% -0.02% -1.57% -1.57% LOSS
2023-07-12 09:28:00 $49.2 -0.02% -0.08% +0.28% -0.24% -1.81% +0.61% +0.10% +0.57% LOSS
2023-06-09 09:29:00 $44.46 +0.22% +0.49% +0.43% +0.81% +2.83% +2.95% -0.27% +0.07% WIN
2023-03-14 09:28:00 $44.92 +2.15% +0.91% +0.94% +2.27% +2.72% +3.21% +0.65% +1.89% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 60.0% Baseline on VTR

The 60.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push VTR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize VTR Strategy →

Why Analyze VTR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VTR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, VTR historically offers an average upside of +1.10% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 VTR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, VTR shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show VTR performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.21%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.