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VTRS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 64 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-13 → 2024-12-13

⚠️ Small sample size (64 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Viatris Inc. Common Stock PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (SIC 2834)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Feb 23, 1973 🔗 www.viatris.com
💰 Market Cap: $15.21B 👥 Employees: 30,000
Viatris was formed in November 2020 through the combination of Upjohn, a wholly owned subsidiary of Pfizer that specialized in off-patent drugs, and Mylan, a global pharmaceutical manufacturer that focused on generic and specialty drugs. By joining forces, Viatris became one of the largest generic drug manufacturers in the world, servicing over 165 countries. Generics (commoditized and complex) and biosimilars make up roughly 40% of Viatris' total sales. The remaining 60% of sales are derived from its portfolio of legacy products, which includes Lipitor, Norvasc, Lyrica, and Viagra. While it covers more than 10 major therapeutic areas, Viatris has identified dermatology, ophthalmology, and gastroenterology as its three key areas of focus for future innovations.
📊
64
Total Alerts
🎯
46.9%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.20%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+1.63%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 45.3%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.02%
Avg Loser: -0.93%
Best: +4.64%
Worst: -4.10%
Trades: 29/33

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.9%
Avg Gain: -0.20%
Avg Winner: +1.24%
Avg Loser: -1.51%
Best: +7.09%
Worst: -9.45%
Trades: 30/33

30MIN

Win Rate: 46.9%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +1.38%
Avg Loser: -1.75%
Best: +4.95%
Worst: -12.30%
Trades: 30/34

60MIN

Win Rate: 42.2%
Avg Gain: -0.43%
Avg Winner: +1.64%
Avg Loser: -1.95%
Best: +8.19%
Worst: -19.09%
Trades: 27/37

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 39.1%
Avg Gain: -0.52%
Avg Winner: +2.00%
Avg Loser: -2.19%
Best: +6.30%
Worst: -19.93%
Trades: 25/38

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.63%
Best MFE: +10.76%
Avg Time to MFE: 124 min

On average, VTRS alerts reach +1.63% profit potential within 124 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.57%
Worst MAE: -2.23%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.57%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.87:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.87x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 64 alerts, VTRS typically reaches +1.63% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 64
Gap Up % 37.5%
Avg Gap -0.10%
Best Gap +1.63%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How VTRS compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
VTRS: -0.02% Sector: -0.32% +0.30%
EOD Gain
VTRS: -0.52% Sector: +4480411.22% -4480411.74%
Avg MFE
VTRS: +1.63% Sector: +7.56% -5.93%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical VTRS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-13 09:27:26 $12.9 -1.78% -1.78% -2.02% -1.67% -2.09% -0.47% -1.24% -0.54% LOSS
2024-11-26 09:27:52 $13.36 -0.86% -1.27% -1.76% -2.81% -2.10% -0.22% -0.60% -0.22% LOSS
2024-11-18 09:29:54 $12.75 +0.35% +0.71% +1.88% +1.14% +1.96% +2.43% -0.55% +0.24% WIN
2024-11-01 09:27:24 $11.68 +0.34% +0.51% +0.26% -0.13% -0.51% +0.73% -0.17% -0.09% WIN
2024-10-03 09:29:55 $11.39 - -0.18% -0.66% -0.70% +0.35% +0.53% -0.97% - -
2024-08-16 09:25:05 $11.67 +0.26% +0.43% +1.20% +0.53% -0.09% +1.37% -0.09% - WIN
2024-08-02 09:25:28 $11.91 +0.17% -0.21% +0.59% -0.71% -0.34% +1.09% -0.42% +0.08% WIN
2024-08-01 09:27:15 $12.16 -0.09% -0.17% -1.52% -1.03% -1.64% +0.16% -0.74% -0.74% LOSS
2024-07-31 09:29:30 $12.1 +0.41% +0.29% +0.17% +0.37% -0.33% +1.24% -0.66% -0.08% WIN
2024-07-26 09:26:49 $11.74 +0.68% +1.36% +1.66% +2.21% +2.90% +3.75% +0.34% +0.34% WIN
2024-07-18 09:28:20 $11.85 -0.42% +0.33% +1.01% +1.05% -0.68% +2.62% -0.55% +0.08% LOSS
2024-07-17 09:25:11 $11.3 +0.53% +2.18% +3.67% +5.27% +4.78% +5.40% - +0.62% WIN
2024-07-12 09:27:05 $11.06 +1.90% +1.54% +1.49% +2.85% +1.63% +3.30% +1.31% +1.63% WIN
2024-07-09 09:28:17 $10.58 -0.47% -0.52% +0.70% +0.90% +2.08% +3.78% -1.04% +0.19% LOSS
2024-07-03 09:29:44 $10.45 -0.38% +0.10% -0.29% +0.14% -0.67% +0.57% -0.57% +0.10% LOSS
2024-05-22 09:26:29 $10.98 -0.46% +0.05% +0.36% +0.14% -0.96% +0.55% -0.73% -0.64% LOSS
2024-05-20 09:25:35 $10.98 +1.55% +2.00% +0.87% +1.14% +0.82% +2.09% -0.05% +0.18% WIN
2024-05-17 09:29:59 $11.09 -0.72% -0.90% -1.44% -1.08% -0.99% -0.36% -1.13% -0.63% LOSS
2024-04-30 09:26:22 $11.78 -0.59% -0.59% -0.68% -0.55% -1.78% -0.25% -0.25% -0.34% LOSS
2024-04-17 09:25:08 $11.13 +0.54% +0.49% +0.85% +0.31% -0.27% +1.08% -0.18% +0.54% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ VTRS Shows Negative Expectancy

With 46.9% win rate and -0.20% average gain, VTRS alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider VTRS for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze VTRS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VTRS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, VTRS historically offers an average upside of +1.63% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 VTRS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 46.9%, VTRS shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests VTRS may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: VTRS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.20%). This suggests VTRS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.