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WEC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 7 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-04-05 → 2024-10-18

⚠️ Small sample size (7 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 01, 1972 🔗 www.wecenergygroup.com
💰 Market Cap: $35.49B 👥 Employees: 7,017
WEC Energy Group's electric and gas utility businesses serve electric and gas customers in Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin service territories. The company also owns a 60% stake in American Transmission Co. WEC's asset mix is approximately 49% electric generation and distribution, 32% gas distribution, 10% electric transmission, 7% unregulated renewable energy, and 2% LNG distribution and generation.
📊
7
Total Alerts
🎯
57.1%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.24%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+0.66%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 28.6%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +0.08%
Avg Loser: -0.25%
Best: +0.08%
Worst: -0.45%
Trades: 2/5

15MIN

Win Rate: 14.3%
Avg Gain: -0.33%
Avg Winner: +0.09%
Avg Loser: -0.40%
Best: +0.09%
Worst: -1.30%
Trades: 1/6

30MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: -0.24%
Avg Winner: +0.08%
Avg Loser: -0.68%
Best: +0.20%
Worst: -0.89%
Trades: 4/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.34%
Avg Loser: -0.58%
Best: +0.43%
Worst: -0.95%
Trades: 4/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.66%
Avg Loser: -1.00%
Best: +0.97%
Worst: -1.68%
Trades: 4/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.66%
Best MFE: +1.18%
Avg Time to MFE: 129 min

On average, WEC alerts reach +0.66% profit potential within 129 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.56%
Worst MAE: -1.07%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.56%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.18:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 7 alerts, WEC typically reaches +0.66% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 7
Gap Up % 42.9%
Avg Gap -0.07%
Best Gap +0.49%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ELECTRIC & OTHER SERVICES COMBINED

How WEC compares to 12 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
WEC: -0.15% Sector: -0.07% -0.08%
EOD Gain
WEC: -0.05% Sector: -0.02% -0.03%
Avg MFE
WEC: +0.66% Sector: +0.96% -0.30%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical WEC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-10-18 09:29:44 $99.14 -0.19% -0.14% +0.07% -0.05% +0.72% +0.86% -0.47% +0.31% LOSS
2024-10-01 09:25:23 $96.18 -0.03% -0.02% +0.01% +0.26% +0.59% +0.94% -0.51% +0.23% LOSS
2024-09-30 09:29:08 $95.26 +0.08% -0.23% +0.20% +0.43% +0.97% +1.18% -0.52% +0.49% WIN
2024-09-26 09:26:25 $94.25 +0.08% -0.11% +0.04% +0.40% +0.38% +1.16% -0.30% -0.30% WIN
2024-09-24 09:26:50 $95.18 -0.45% -0.62% -0.45% +0.25% -0.67% +0.54% -1.07% -0.63% LOSS
2024-05-23 09:28:23 $82.05 -0.26% +0.09% -0.89% -0.73% -1.68% +0.12% -0.48% -0.06% LOSS
2024-04-05 09:28:16 $80.8 -0.32% -1.30% -0.69% -0.95% -0.64% -0.19% -0.54% -0.54% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ WEC Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 57.1% win rate, WEC has -0.24% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making WEC profitable.

🔧 Fix WEC Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze WEC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for WEC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, WEC historically offers an average upside of +0.66% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 WEC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 57.1%, WEC shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.68%) outweigh average wins (+0.08%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: WEC shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.24%). This suggests WEC is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.