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WY Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 14 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-02 → 2025-02-06

⚠️ Small sample size (14 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Dec 06, 1963 🔗 www.weyerhaeuser.com
💰 Market Cap: $19.23B 👥 Employees: 9,440
Weyerhaeuser ranks among the world's largest forest product companies. Following the 2016 sale of its pulp business to International Paper, Weyerhaeuser operates three business segments: timberlands, wood products, and real estate. Weyerhaeuser is structured as a real estate investment trust and is not required to pay federal income taxes on earnings generated by timber harvest activities. Earnings from its wood products segment are subject to federal income tax. Weyerhaeuser acquired fellow timber REIT Plum Creek in 2016.
📊
14
Total Alerts
🎯
28.6%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.38%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+0.47%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 14.3%
Avg Gain: -0.52%
Avg Winner: +0.42%
Avg Loser: -0.68%
Best: +0.44%
Worst: -1.67%
Trades: 2/12

15MIN

Win Rate: 21.4%
Avg Gain: -0.51%
Avg Winner: +0.91%
Avg Loser: -0.90%
Best: +1.72%
Worst: -2.14%
Trades: 3/11

30MIN

Win Rate: 21.4%
Avg Gain: -0.80%
Avg Winner: +0.37%
Avg Loser: -1.12%
Best: +0.46%
Worst: -3.06%
Trades: 3/11

60MIN

Win Rate: 21.4%
Avg Gain: -0.96%
Avg Winner: +0.24%
Avg Loser: -1.29%
Best: +0.52%
Worst: -2.97%
Trades: 3/11

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 28.6%
Avg Gain: -0.38%
Avg Winner: +1.25%
Avg Loser: -1.03%
Best: +2.07%
Worst: -2.06%
Trades: 4/10

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.47%
Best MFE: +2.42%
Avg Time to MFE: 141 min

On average, WY alerts reach +0.47% profit potential within 141 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.06%
Worst MAE: -2.87%
Avg Time to MAE: 32 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.06%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.44:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 14 alerts, WY typically reaches +0.47% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 14
Gap Up % 28.6%
Avg Gap -0.29%
Best Gap +0.61%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

How WY compares to 118 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
WY: -0.52% Sector: -0.14% -0.38%
EOD Gain
WY: -0.38% Sector: +296893.71% -296894.09%
Avg MFE
WY: +0.47% Sector: +2.11% -1.65%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical WY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-06 09:28:32 $30.5 -0.03% +0.13% -0.13% -0.52% -0.23% +0.54% +0.07% +0.39% LOSS
2024-12-04 09:25:14 $31.76 -0.71% -0.68% -0.91% -2.09% -1.64% -0.06% -0.82% -0.69% LOSS
2024-11-21 09:29:02 $30.91 -0.95% -0.60% -0.68% -0.94% -1.00% -0.45% -1.41% -0.94% LOSS
2024-09-09 09:29:02 $30.36 -0.68% -0.76% -0.58% -0.35% -0.30% +0.18% -1.02% -0.23% LOSS
2024-08-22 09:29:41 $30.41 -0.10% -0.13% -0.85% -0.76% -0.49% +0.03% -0.36% -0.03% LOSS
2024-08-02 09:28:44 $32.01 -0.23% -0.81% -0.75% -1.16% -0.84% +0.12% -1.27% -0.37% LOSS
2024-07-15 09:27:18 $29.5 -0.95% -1.19% -1.02% -1.08% -1.56% -0.46% -0.88% -0.58% LOSS
2024-07-05 09:26:26 $27.02 -0.41% -0.22% -0.85% -0.54% +1.59% +1.59% -1.07% +0.18% LOSS
2024-06-14 09:29:46 $29.4 -1.67% -1.97% -2.45% -2.69% -1.36% -1.29% -2.87% -2.01% LOSS
2024-06-06 09:28:25 $29.5 -0.78% -0.41% +0.44% +0.02% +0.88% +1.22% -1.07% -0.53% LOSS
2024-03-08 09:27:45 $34.68 +0.40% +0.88% +0.46% +0.17% +0.46% +0.89% -0.25% - WIN
2022-07-19 09:25:00 $35.9 -1.31% -2.14% -3.06% -2.97% -2.06% +1.17% -1.31% +0.61% LOSS
2022-06-15 09:25:00 $34.81 -0.37% -1.01% -1.06% -1.08% -0.86% +0.60% -2.59% -0.40% LOSS
2022-02-02 09:25:00 $40.63 +0.44% +1.72% +0.20% +0.52% +2.07% +2.42% -0.05% +0.52% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ WY Shows Negative Expectancy

With 28.6% win rate and -0.38% average gain, WY alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider WY for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze WY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for WY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, WY historically offers an average upside of +0.47% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 WY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 28.6%, WY shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests WY may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: WY shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.38%). This suggests WY is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.