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Latest signal:

XCUR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 139 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-01-23

🏢 Company Profile

Exicure, Inc. Common Stock PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (SIC 2834)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 09, 2018 🔗 www.exicuretx.com
💰 Market Cap: $39.3M 👥 Employees: 8
Exicure Inc is an early-stage biotechnology company focused on developing nucleic acid therapies targeting ribonucleic acid against validated targets. It operates in a single segment which is Biotechnology.
📊
139
Total Alerts
🎯
77.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+6862.30%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+9.95%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 38.4%
Avg Gain: -0.31%
Avg Winner: +2.39%
Avg Loser: -2.09%
Best: +10.70%
Worst: -16.22%
Trades: 53/81

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.3%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +3.61%
Avg Loser: -3.03%
Best: +17.04%
Worst: -20.40%
Trades: 63/75

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.5%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +4.19%
Avg Loser: -3.87%
Best: +23.57%
Worst: -27.76%
Trades: 66/72

60MIN

Win Rate: 49.6%
Avg Gain: +0.60%
Avg Winner: +5.55%
Avg Loser: -4.34%
Best: +35.47%
Worst: -25.25%
Trades: 69/69

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 77.0%
Avg Gain: +6862.30%
Avg Winner: +8916.44%
Avg Loser: -6.22%
Best: +18773.42%
Worst: -34.28%
Trades: 107/32

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +9.95%
Best MFE: +106.13%
Avg Time to MFE: 112 min

On average, XCUR alerts reach +9.95% profit potential within 112 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.59%
Worst MAE: -26.32%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.59%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.77:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.77x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 139 alerts, XCUR typically reaches +9.95% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 8.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 139
Gap Up % 42.4%
Avg Gap -0.17%
Best Gap +23.59%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How XCUR compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
XCUR: -0.31% Sector: -0.32% +0.01%
EOD Gain
XCUR: +6911.86% Sector: +4480411.22% -4473499.37%
Avg MFE
XCUR: +9.81% Sector: +7.56% +2.25%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical XCUR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-23 09:27:00 $14.28 -8.96% -9.14% -12.32% -8.89% -4.34% +6.79% -3.15% +6.79% LOSS
2024-12-04 09:29:55 $17.43 - +17.04% +21.63% +18.01% +23.47% +28.31% - - -
2024-11-25 09:29:23 $22.5 -12.27% -12.14% +3.78% +19.70% +18.84% +44.40% -17.56% -1.33% LOSS
2024-11-22 09:25:43 $15.75 -7.17% +6.67% -15.59% -15.94% +16.70% +24.57% -19.75% -4.44% LOSS
2024-11-21 09:25:38 $11.34 -6.97% -11.82% -7.89% -0.44% -4.23% +5.82% -25.66% -6.17% LOSS
2024-11-20 09:26:38 $7.18 +5.36% +7.24% +5.15% +35.47% +55.85% +106.13% -4.87% -4.74% WIN
2024-11-19 09:25:33 $4.33 +2.54% +9.07% +6.24% +15.91% +34.41% +38.09% -1.85% -1.39% WIN
2024-11-18 09:26:19 $3.46 +3.57% +1.45% +2.60% -2.89% +13.87% +23.41% -4.34% -4.05% WIN
2024-09-20 09:28:50 $3.35 +6.57% +2.99% +8.06% +14.78% +26.27% +41.19% -0.30% +0.90% WIN
2024-09-19 09:27:31 $5.98 -16.22% -20.40% -27.76% -25.25% -34.28% +0.33% -8.03% -5.69% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:27:19 $0.49 -2.95% -6.57% -2.62% +4.61% +3.64% +14.84% -9.96% +3.66% LOSS
2024-08-02 09:29:40 $0.81 -3.05% -11.56% -9.88% -20.53% +309.15% +15.57% -4.82% -1.01% LOSS
2024-07-26 09:26:50 $0.43 +10.70% +16.28% +12.91% +9.77% +11.63% +34.30% +0.74% +0.74% WIN
2024-07-22 09:26:09 $0.39 +6.49% +5.13% +12.82% +11.10% +28.15% +36.81% -1.90% +23.59% WIN
2023-12-13 09:29:00 $0.65 +0.62% +2.01% -6.32% -7.12% +356.66% +2.15% -0.93% -0.93% WIN
2023-12-12 09:29:00 $0.61 +3.18% -2.49% -1.67% -1.67% +4.88% +6.52% -7.55% -4.95% WIN
2023-12-11 09:29:00 $0.47 +4.27% +5.35% +23.57% +29.51% +32.48% +40.96% +1.57% +1.57% WIN
2023-12-08 09:25:00 $0.61 -0.90% -1.94% -12.23% -13.22% +321.94% +7.67% -6.64% +1.14% LOSS
2022-12-23 09:25:00 $1.57 -0.63% +4.46% -7.64% -4.46% +307.64% +7.01% -2.55% -1.27% LOSS
2022-12-22 09:25:00 $0.96 +0.52% +12.50% +9.38% +12.50% +52.08% +66.67% -1.04% +1.67% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 77.0% Baseline on XCUR

The 77.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push XCUR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize XCUR Strategy →

Why Analyze XCUR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for XCUR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, XCUR historically offers an average upside of +9.95% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 XCUR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 77.0%, XCUR shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show XCUR performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +6862.30%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.