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XEL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-03-14 → 2024-10-28

⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 01, 1972 🔗 www.xcelenergy.com
💰 Market Cap: $44.37B 👥 Employees: 11,380
Xcel Energy manages utilities serving 3.8 million electric customers and 2.2 million natural gas customers in eight states. Its utilities are Northern States Power, which serves customers in Minnesota, North Dakota, South Dakota, Wisconsin, and Michigan; Public Service Company of Colorado; and Southwestern Public Service Company, which serves customers in Texas and New Mexico. It is one of the largest renewable energy suppliers in the US, with more than half of its electricity sales coming from carbon-free energy.
📊
6
Total Alerts
🎯
83.3%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.83%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+1.58%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.31%
Avg Winner: +0.55%
Avg Loser: -0.17%
Best: +0.90%
Worst: -0.20%
Trades: 4/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.49%
Avg Winner: +0.96%
Avg Loser: -0.87%
Best: +1.41%
Worst: -0.87%
Trades: 4/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 83.3%
Avg Gain: +0.83%
Avg Winner: +1.09%
Avg Loser: -0.48%
Best: +3.17%
Worst: -0.48%
Trades: 5/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 83.3%
Avg Gain: +1.00%
Avg Winner: +1.25%
Avg Loser: -0.28%
Best: +3.35%
Worst: -0.28%
Trades: 5/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.48%
Avg Winner: +1.02%
Avg Loser: -0.59%
Best: +2.29%
Worst: -0.92%
Trades: 4/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.58%
Best MFE: +3.82%
Avg Time to MFE: 73 min

On average, XEL alerts reach +1.58% profit potential within 73 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.24%
Worst MAE: -1.00%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.24%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

6.58:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 6.58x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, XEL typically reaches +1.58% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 6
Gap Up % 66.7%
Avg Gap +0.05%
Best Gap +0.44%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ELECTRIC & OTHER SERVICES COMBINED

How XEL compares to 12 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
XEL: +0.31% Sector: -0.07% +0.38%
EOD Gain
XEL: +0.48% Sector: -0.02% +0.51%
Avg MFE
XEL: +1.58% Sector: +0.96% +0.62%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical XEL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-10-28 09:29:45 $64.16 +0.87% +1.09% +0.73% +0.52% +0.50% +1.12% +0.44% +0.44% WIN
2024-08-20 09:29:46 $60.15 +0.23% - +0.02% +0.39% -0.27% +0.57% -0.25% -0.25% WIN
2024-03-07 09:25:36 $48.92 -0.14% +1.41% +3.17% +3.35% +2.29% +3.82% -0.49% +0.10% LOSS
2023-10-26 09:29:00 $59.74 +0.18% +0.85% +0.84% +0.70% +0.05% +1.36% -0.22% -0.18% WIN
2023-09-21 09:27:00 $59.93 -0.20% -0.87% -0.48% -0.28% -0.92% +0.62% -1.00% +0.12% LOSS
2023-03-14 09:29:00 $64.63 +0.90% +0.48% +0.68% +1.30% +1.25% +2.01% +0.08% +0.09% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 83.3% Baseline on XEL

The 83.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push XEL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize XEL Strategy →

Why Analyze XEL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for XEL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, XEL historically offers an average upside of +1.58% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 XEL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 83.3%, XEL shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show XEL performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.83%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.