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XPL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-04-04 → 2022-04-04

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Solitario Resources Corp. GOLD AND SILVER ORES (SIC 1040)
📍 NYSE American 📅 IPO: Jul 19, 1994 🔗 www.solitarioxr.com
💰 Market Cap: $68.0M 👥 Employees: 7
Solitario Resources Corp is exploration company engaging in acquiring, exploring, and developing zinc properties and other precious metals in safe jurisdictions in North and South America. It has joint venture interests in large, high-grade zinc development projects. The Florida Canyon Zinc Project in Peru is a development asset held jointly with Nexa Resources S.A., Golden Crest Project in South Dakota and the Lik Zinc Project represents a large-tonnage, high-grade development project in Alaska in partnership with Teck Resources. In addition, the company has an additional portfolio of exploration properties and royalties in the Americas.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
0.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-3.96%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.84%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.96%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -3.96%
Best: -3.96%
Worst: -3.96%
Trades: 0/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -5.15%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -5.15%
Best: -5.15%
Worst: -5.15%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.30%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -3.30%
Best: -3.30%
Worst: -3.30%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.97%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -3.97%
Best: -3.97%
Worst: -3.97%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.56%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.56%
Best: -1.56%
Worst: -1.56%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.84%
Best MFE: +1.84%
Avg Time to MFE: 393 min

On average, XPL alerts reach +1.84% profit potential within 393 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -7.44%
Worst MAE: -7.44%
Avg Time to MAE: 42 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 7.44%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.25:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, XPL typically reaches +1.84% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -2.76%
Best Gap -2.76%

🏭 Sector Comparison: GOLD AND SILVER ORES

How XPL compares to 14 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
XPL: -3.96% Sector: -0.32% -3.64%
EOD Gain
XPL: -1.56% Sector: +146.19% -147.75%
Avg MFE
XPL: +1.84% Sector: +3.74% -1.91%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical XPL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-04-04 09:25:00 $0.83 -3.96% -5.15% -3.30% -3.97% -1.56% +1.84% -7.44% -2.76% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ XPL Shows Negative Expectancy

With 0.0% win rate and -3.96% average gain, XPL alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider XPL for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze XPL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for XPL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, XPL historically offers an average upside of +1.84% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 XPL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 0.0%, XPL shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests XPL may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: XPL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -3.96%). This suggests XPL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.