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XPON Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 31 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-04-05 → 2025-01-03

⚠️ Small sample size (31 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Apr 01, 2022 🔗 www.expion360.com
💰 Market Cap: $8.8M 👥 Employees: 20
Expion360 Inc is focused on the design, assembly, manufacturing, and sales of lithium iron phosphate (LiFePO4) batteries and supporting accessories for recreational vehicles (RV's) and marine applications with plans to expand into home energy storage products and industrial applications. Its product offerings include some of the minimal-footprint batteries in the RV & Marine industry.
📊
31
Total Alerts
🎯
45.2%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+2451.14%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+13.31%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 38.7%
Avg Gain: -0.71%
Avg Winner: +3.34%
Avg Loser: -3.26%
Best: +13.58%
Worst: -6.28%
Trades: 12/19

15MIN

Win Rate: 19.4%
Avg Gain: -1.98%
Avg Winner: +7.22%
Avg Loser: -4.37%
Best: +24.65%
Worst: -9.89%
Trades: 6/24

30MIN

Win Rate: 25.8%
Avg Gain: -0.84%
Avg Winner: +9.76%
Avg Loser: -4.53%
Best: +22.80%
Worst: -16.32%
Trades: 8/23

60MIN

Win Rate: 29.0%
Avg Gain: -3.28%
Avg Winner: +5.52%
Avg Loser: -7.21%
Best: +10.61%
Worst: -18.15%
Trades: 9/21

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 45.2%
Avg Gain: +2451.14%
Avg Winner: +5438.84%
Avg Loser: -9.32%
Best: +11977.29%
Worst: -45.65%
Trades: 14/17

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +13.31%
Best MFE: +91.30%
Avg Time to MFE: 94 min

On average, XPON alerts reach +13.31% profit potential within 94 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -4.61%
Worst MAE: -13.92%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.61%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.89:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.89x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 31 alerts, XPON typically reaches +13.31% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 10.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 31
Gap Up % 32.3%
Avg Gap -0.53%
Best Gap +3.65%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MISCELLANEOUS ELECTRICAL MACHINERY, EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES

How XPON compares to 24 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
XPON: -0.71% Sector: -0.46% -0.25%
EOD Gain
XPON: +2451.14% Sector: +197.82% +2253.32%
Avg MFE
XPON: +13.31% Sector: +6.28% +7.03%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical XPON alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-03 09:28:52 $2.12 -3.07% -2.36% -3.07% -1.18% +4.72% +5.66% -5.19% -0.94% LOSS
2025-01-02 09:29:21 $3.68 +13.58% -3.80% -4.53% -11.68% -45.65% +19.57% -7.34% -0.27% WIN
2024-12-12 09:29:54 $1.9 +1.65% +0.06% -0.89% -3.68% -5.26% +2.53% -0.50% +2.11% WIN
2024-12-11 09:25:29 $2.02 +2.10% -2.95% -5.24% -6.44% -3.47% +2.97% -9.41% -0.99% WIN
2024-11-19 09:27:36 $2.49 -5.22% -2.59% -2.41% -1.31% +7.23% +13.65% -5.62% -0.80% LOSS
2024-11-05 09:27:39 $4.1 -4.63% -3.29% -0.38% +1.01% -4.15% +3.66% -5.61% -0.49% LOSS
2024-10-28 09:26:51 $4.0 -2.75% -4.99% -6.24% -5.49% +5.25% +5.75% -7.50% +0.25% LOSS
2024-10-25 09:27:03 $4.7 +0.74% -0.21% -4.47% -13.05% -8.72% +16.60% -1.28% +2.55% WIN
2024-10-22 09:27:09 $3.24 +1.36% -1.54% -0.65% -2.31% +0.93% +4.63% -0.62% -0.31% WIN
2024-10-21 09:29:47 $3.88 -1.55% -2.58% +3.79% -10.70% -6.44% +10.57% -5.93% +0.26% LOSS
2024-10-15 09:27:51 $3.3 -5.45% -9.09% -8.48% -4.25% -7.58% +2.73% -10.30% -3.64% LOSS
2024-10-14 09:29:07 $3.99 -4.96% +3.08% +0.86% -8.30% -11.78% +6.52% -7.02% +0.25% LOSS
2024-10-11 09:28:03 $2.23 -1.35% -4.53% -3.32% +0.22% +7.17% +22.42% -6.28% - LOSS
2024-08-06 09:29:33 $0.32 -6.28% -7.48% -2.34% -12.55% +8029.29% +2.84% -0.06% +1.31% LOSS
2024-04-19 09:28:01 $2.99 -4.68% -4.68% -4.35% - -13.71% +6.35% -9.03% -2.34% LOSS
2023-07-25 09:29:00 $5.4 -4.63% -5.82% -6.30% -7.59% +9622.22% +1.48% -2.59% -2.22% LOSS
2023-02-24 09:28:00 $3.86 +4.79% +7.64% +22.80% +6.22% -2.33% +23.06% -0.52% - WIN
2023-02-15 09:25:00 $4.5 -1.22% -1.33% -1.98% -3.14% +8100.00% +11.11% -5.33% -0.89% LOSS
2023-02-14 09:28:00 $3.5 -2.00% -0.01% +3.71% +3.14% +19.14% +26.86% -5.43% - LOSS
2023-02-13 09:26:00 $3.5 -1.29% -2.29% -6.86% -5.14% +10528.57% +16.29% -8.29% -1.14% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 45.2% Baseline on XPON

The 45.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push XPON's performance to 75%+.

Optimize XPON Strategy →

Why Analyze XPON with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for XPON. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, XPON historically offers an average upside of +13.31% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 XPON Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 45.2%, XPON shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show XPON performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +2451.14%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.