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ZUMZ Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-09-09 → 2022-09-09

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 06, 2005 🔗 www.zumiez.com
💰 Market Cap: $421.7M 👥 Employees: 8,700
Zumiez Inc is a United-States-based specialty retailer engaged in the sale of apparel, footwear, accessories, and hard goods. The company provides merchandise with cultural elements coming from fashion, music, art from action sports, streetwear, and other lifestyles. The company operates under the brands Zumiez, Fast Times, and Blue Tomato, and through both physical stores and websites. The majority of the company's stores are located in the U.S., with the rest in Canada, Australia, and Europe. The U.S. market contributes to the majority of the company's revenue.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+5.55%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+21.18%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +5.55%
Avg Winner: +5.55%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +5.55%
Worst: +5.55%
Trades: 1/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +10.26%
Avg Winner: +10.26%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +10.26%
Worst: +10.26%
Trades: 1/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +11.32%
Avg Winner: +11.32%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +11.32%
Worst: +11.32%
Trades: 1/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +12.95%
Avg Winner: +12.95%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +12.95%
Worst: +12.95%
Trades: 1/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +20.35%
Avg Winner: +20.35%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +20.35%
Worst: +20.35%
Trades: 1/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +21.18%
Best MFE: +21.18%
Avg Time to MFE: 394 min

On average, ZUMZ alerts reach +21.18% profit potential within 394 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.44%
Worst MAE: -0.44%
Avg Time to MAE: 1 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.44%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

48.5:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 48.5x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, ZUMZ typically reaches +21.18% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 16.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +0.74%
Best Gap +0.74%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-APPAREL & ACCESSORY STORES

How ZUMZ compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ZUMZ: +5.55% Sector: -0.54% +6.08%
EOD Gain
ZUMZ: +20.35% Sector: +4297776.54% -4297756.19%
Avg MFE
ZUMZ: +21.18% Sector: +9.39% +11.78%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ZUMZ alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-09-09 09:25:00 $22.9 +5.55% +10.26% +11.32% +12.95% +20.35% +21.18% -0.44% +0.74% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on ZUMZ

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ZUMZ's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ZUMZ Strategy →

Why Analyze ZUMZ with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ZUMZ. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ZUMZ historically offers an average upside of +21.18% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ZUMZ Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, ZUMZ shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ZUMZ performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +5.55%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.