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AAP Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 41 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-18 → 2024-12-02
⚠️ Small sample size (41 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, AAP alerts reach +2.44% profit potential within 103 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.93%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.63x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 41 alerts, AAP typically reaches +2.44% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.0% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-AUTO & HOME SUPPLY STORES
How AAP compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical AAP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-02 | 09:27:15 | $41.52 | +0.48% | +2.29% | +2.22% | +1.98% | +2.60% | +4.24% | -0.26% | +1.11% | WIN |
| 2024-11-14 | 09:28:30 | $43.03 | +3.85% | -0.91% | +3.74% | +1.91% | -4.25% | +5.63% | -0.63% | +1.07% | WIN |
| 2024-11-01 | 09:27:54 | $35.87 | +0.53% | +0.17% | +0.56% | +1.41% | +1.06% | +1.51% | -0.39% | -0.20% | WIN |
| 2024-08-22 | 09:26:27 | $47.7 | +4.96% | +6.35% | +7.69% | +12.20% | +7.13% | +12.98% | -1.05% | +1.47% | WIN |
| 2024-05-29 | 09:26:14 | $64.95 | -2.96% | -3.49% | +0.11% | +2.39% | -3.80% | +4.48% | -6.68% | -0.97% | LOSS |
| 2024-02-28 | 09:28:41 | $65.79 | -0.93% | +3.08% | +2.82% | +2.29% | +0.96% | +5.59% | -2.98% | -0.09% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-04 | 09:28:00 | $53.98 | +1.27% | +3.18% | +1.86% | +1.61% | +3.06% | +3.73% | -0.31% | +0.26% | WIN |
| 2023-11-28 | 09:28:00 | $51.03 | -0.56% | -0.14% | +0.33% | +0.37% | +1.20% | +1.43% | -0.94% | -0.33% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-15 | 09:27:00 | $55.15 | -2.90% | +1.72% | +7.25% | +6.89% | +0.94% | +10.23% | -4.32% | -0.63% | LOSS |
| 2023-09-12 | 09:29:00 | $60.5 | -0.00% | +1.46% | -0.54% | -1.66% | -5.02% | +1.62% | -1.37% | +0.15% | LOSS |
| 2023-09-07 | 09:26:00 | $66.45 | +0.12% | -0.62% | -1.23% | -2.39% | -4.61% | +0.25% | -0.30% | - | WIN |
| 2023-09-01 | 09:25:00 | $69.02 | +0.31% | -0.67% | -0.48% | -1.99% | -1.98% | +0.52% | +0.19% | +0.26% | WIN |
| 2023-08-28 | 09:27:00 | $64.0 | +1.49% | +1.20% | +1.41% | +1.97% | +2.55% | +3.11% | -0.12% | +0.08% | WIN |
| 2023-08-23 | 09:29:00 | $67.6 | +4.51% | +3.45% | +5.27% | +3.49% | +2.72% | +5.75% | -0.16% | -0.16% | WIN |
| 2023-08-17 | 09:25:00 | $70.45 | -0.28% | +0.06% | -0.78% | -0.47% | -1.41% | +0.67% | -1.06% | -0.28% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-11 | 09:27:00 | $70.97 | +0.54% | +1.53% | +1.40% | +1.62% | +1.85% | +2.23% | -0.48% | -0.14% | WIN |
| 2023-08-03 | 09:25:00 | $69.69 | +0.47% | +0.77% | -0.83% | +0.09% | +3.36% | +3.39% | -0.90% | +0.63% | WIN |
| 2023-07-26 | 09:29:00 | $71.27 | +1.37% | +2.66% | +1.70% | +2.53% | +2.55% | +3.03% | +0.20% | +0.32% | WIN |
| 2023-07-24 | 09:28:00 | $70.73 | +0.62% | +1.60% | +0.25% | +0.78% | +2.87% | +3.05% | +0.10% | +0.10% | WIN |
| 2023-07-10 | 09:29:00 | $67.3 | +1.68% | +1.95% | +3.13% | +2.23% | +2.23% | +4.07% | -0.59% | -0.22% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
🚀 Beat the 56.1% Baseline on AAP
The 56.1% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AAP's performance to 75%+.
Optimize AAP Strategy →Why Analyze AAP with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AAP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, AAP historically offers an average upside of +2.44% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 AAP Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 56.1%, AAP shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AAP performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.34%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.