$TLT
Trade-Ideas alerts 49.8% at 15-min n=906 2022-01-03 → 2026-10-02
🏢 Company Profile
Practice trading TLT on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, TLT alerts reach +0.51% profit potential within 148 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.18%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.83x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 906 alerts, TLT typically reaches +0.51% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.4% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical TLT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | 09:25:00 | $77.96 | -0.02% | +0.08% | +0.07% | +0.32% | -0.62% | +0.46% | -0.13% | -0.03% | LOSS |
| 2026-10-01 | 09:25:00 | $76.99 | -0.01% | -0.10% | -0.03% | +0.03% | +0.94% | +1.38% | -0.30% | -0.06% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-30 | 09:25:00 | $78.2 | -0.03% | -0.17% | -0.16% | -0.37% | -0.54% | +0.03% | -0.04% | -0.05% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-29 | 09:25:00 | $78.53 | -0.06% | -0.25% | -0.18% | -0.21% | -0.38% | +0.04% | +0.01% | -0.02% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-28 | 09:25:00 | $78.64 | -0.02% | +0.21% | +0.23% | -0.01% | -0.03% | +0.29% | -0.04% | +0.01% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-25 | 09:25:00 | $79.35 | +0.08% | +0.04% | -0.10% | -0.44% | -0.04% | +0.14% | -0.04% | +0.03% | WIN |
| 2026-09-24 | 09:25:00 | $80.33 | +0.05% | +0.11% | +0.16% | -0.05% | -1.13% | +0.27% | -0.04% | +0.03% | WIN |
| 2026-09-23 | 09:25:00 | $81.47 | +0.02% | -0.09% | -0.58% | -0.69% | -1.24% | +0.04% | -0.02% | +0.01% | WIN |
| 2026-09-22 | 09:25:00 | $81.93 | -0.07% | -0.11% | -0.13% | -0.15% | -0.22% | +0.07% | +0.02% | -0.05% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-21 | 09:25:00 | $81.72 | -0.06% | -0.06% | -0.17% | -0.09% | +0.10% | +0.14% | -0.22% | -0.01% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-18 | 09:25:00 | $81.45 | -0.01% | -0.15% | -0.17% | -0.31% | -0.25% | +0.02% | -0.02% | +0.02% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-17 | 09:25:00 | $81.55 | -0.01% | -0.10% | +0.05% | +0.06% | +0.28% | +0.34% | -0.16% | -0.01% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-16 | 09:25:00 | $80.95 | +0.05% | +0.17% | +0.12% | +0.12% | -0.09% | +0.75% | -0.02% | -0.01% | WIN |
| 2026-09-15 | 09:25:00 | $80.68 | -0.10% | -0.02% | -0.09% | -0.04% | +0.04% | +0.21% | -0.17% | -0.06% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-14 | 09:25:00 | $80.86 | -0.04% | -0.05% | -0.14% | -0.48% | +0.09% | +0.61% | -0.49% | -0.05% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-11 | 09:25:00 | $81.34 | -0.05% | +0.15% | -0.06% | -0.15% | -0.58% | +0.17% | -0.10% | -0.05% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-10 | 09:25:00 | $80.96 | +0.06% | -0.02% | -0.00% | +0.31% | -0.22% | +0.50% | -0.07% | +0.05% | WIN |
| 2026-09-09 | 09:25:00 | $82.14 | +0.06% | +0.11% | +0.14% | -0.10% | -0.50% | +0.20% | +0.01% | +0.06% | WIN |
| 2026-09-08 | 09:25:00 | $82.46 | -0.07% | -0.24% | -0.02% | -0.28% | -0.32% | +0.01% | -0.02% | -0.02% | LOSS |
| 2026-09-04 | 09:25:00 | $82.22 | +0.11% | +0.19% | +0.26% | +0.30% | -0.01% | +0.34% | -0.01% | +0.09% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠ TLT Shows Negative Expectancy
With 49.8% win rate and +0.00% average gain, TLT alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider TLT for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze TLT with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TLT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, TLT historically offers an average upside of +0.51% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 TLT Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 49.8%, TLT shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: TLT shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at +0.00%). This suggests TLT is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.