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ABNB Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 168 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-07 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Airbnb, Inc. Class A Common Stock SERVICES-TO DWELLINGS & OTHER BUILDINGS (SIC 7340)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 10, 2020 🔗 www.airbnb.com
💰 Market Cap: $80.13B 👥 Employees: 7,300
Started in 2008, Airbnb is the world's largest online alternative accommodation travel agency; it also offers booking services for boutique hotels and experiences. Airbnb's platform offered over 8 million active accommodation listings as of Dec. 31, 2024. Listings from the company's 5 million-plus hosts are spread over almost every country in the world. In 2024, 45% of revenue was from North America, 37% from Europe, the Middle East, and Africa, 9% from Latin America, and 9% from Asia-Pacific. Transaction fees for online bookings account for all its revenue.
📊
168
Total Alerts
🎯
64.9%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.27%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+2.64%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 64.9%
Avg Gain: +0.27%
Avg Winner: +0.75%
Avg Loser: -0.62%
Best: +3.14%
Worst: -2.55%
Trades: 109/58

15MIN

Win Rate: 59.5%
Avg Gain: +0.15%
Avg Winner: +1.12%
Avg Loser: -1.28%
Best: +4.36%
Worst: -5.28%
Trades: 100/68

30MIN

Win Rate: 56.5%
Avg Gain: +0.16%
Avg Winner: +1.53%
Avg Loser: -1.62%
Best: +5.20%
Worst: -6.75%
Trades: 95/73

60MIN

Win Rate: 51.2%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +2.04%
Avg Loser: -1.92%
Best: +6.44%
Worst: -5.63%
Trades: 86/82

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 57.7%
Avg Gain: +0.29%
Avg Winner: +2.56%
Avg Loser: -2.80%
Best: +12.46%
Worst: -9.61%
Trades: 97/71

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.64%
Best MFE: +12.96%
Avg Time to MFE: 132 min

On average, ABNB alerts reach +2.64% profit potential within 132 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.85%
Worst MAE: -4.76%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.85%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.1:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.1x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 168 alerts, ABNB typically reaches +2.64% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 168
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap -0.01%
Best Gap +1.27%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-TO DWELLINGS & OTHER BUILDINGS

How ABNB compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ABNB: +0.27% Sector: +0.26% +0.01%
EOD Gain
ABNB: +0.29% Sector: +0.12% +0.17%
Avg MFE
ABNB: +2.64% Sector: +2.48% +0.16%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ABNB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:29:45 $157.58 +0.87% +1.05% +2.12% +2.48% +2.44% +4.03% -0.41% +0.38% WIN
2024-11-27 09:29:56 $139.49 +0.66% +0.25% +0.15% -0.79% -0.87% +0.66% -0.29% +0.13% WIN
2024-11-08 09:26:42 $136.3 -1.14% -1.44% -0.54% -1.90% -1.24% +1.03% -2.42% -1.20% LOSS
2024-08-15 09:25:55 $118.71 -1.36% -1.05% -0.96% -1.37% +0.14% +0.36% -1.97% -0.43% LOSS
2024-08-14 09:26:30 $117.65 +0.26% +0.64% +0.35% -0.05% -1.20% +0.93% -0.13% +0.06% WIN
2024-08-13 09:29:56 $114.25 +0.74% +0.97% +0.57% +1.27% +2.32% +3.08% -0.18% +0.12% WIN
2024-08-07 09:28:46 $112.88 -0.76% -0.88% -0.93% -2.04% +0.12% +2.37% -2.21% -0.39% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:29:03 $123.77 -0.69% -0.44% +0.27% -0.10% +1.24% +1.76% -1.38% - LOSS
2024-05-09 09:29:01 $145.67 +1.49% +1.50% +1.28% +1.26% +0.95% +2.98% -0.07% +0.64% WIN
2024-02-23 09:26:27 $152.8 +1.23% +1.07% -0.50% -0.69% -0.09% +1.64% - +0.31% WIN
2024-02-15 09:26:17 $149.0 -0.10% +0.76% +1.79% +2.52% +5.83% +6.22% -0.17% -0.06% LOSS
2024-02-14 09:25:51 $145.6 +0.27% -1.51% -0.20% -0.44% +1.79% +2.70% -2.08% +0.38% WIN
2024-02-13 09:29:42 $148.9 +0.42% +0.54% +1.12% +2.38% +1.29% +2.77% -0.21% +0.21% WIN
2024-02-09 09:26:59 $145.05 +1.26% +0.65% +1.41% +1.97% +1.75% +2.50% -0.06% +0.54% WIN
2023-12-19 09:28:00 $147.2 +0.24% +0.76% +0.63% +0.26% -0.20% +0.96% +0.13% +0.20% WIN
2023-12-14 09:29:00 $145.48 +1.64% +1.79% +2.35% +2.40% +1.22% +3.05% -0.34% -0.33% WIN
2023-12-13 09:27:00 $142.45 +1.31% +0.02% -0.52% -0.53% +1.45% +1.75% -0.11% +0.35% WIN
2023-12-12 09:29:00 $137.9 +0.44% +0.46% +1.64% +1.54% +1.92% +2.29% -0.23% - WIN
2023-12-08 09:28:00 $138.18 +0.56% +0.35% +0.51% +1.62% +1.81% +2.43% -0.28% +0.01% WIN
2023-11-29 09:29:00 $126.8 +0.76% +1.35% +1.96% +0.48% -0.25% +2.19% +0.16% +0.16% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 64.9% Baseline on ABNB

The 64.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ABNB's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ABNB Strategy →

Why Analyze ABNB with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ABNB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ABNB historically offers an average upside of +2.64% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ABNB Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 64.9%, ABNB shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ABNB performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.27%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.