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ABOS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 10 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-09-28 → 2024-03-08

⚠️ Small sample size (10 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Acumen Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Common Stock BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES) (SIC 2836)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 01, 2021 🔗 www.acumenpharm.com
💰 Market Cap: $119.9M 👥 Employees: 52
Acumen Pharmaceuticals Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing a novel disease-modifying approach to target what it believes to be a key underlying cause of Alzheimer's disease. The company's drug candidate, ACU193, is a subclass monoclonal antibody that selectively targets amyloid-beta oligomers.
📊
10
Total Alerts
🎯
40.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.70%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+8.74%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.70%
Avg Winner: +0.86%
Avg Loser: -2.09%
Best: +1.82%
Worst: -3.89%
Trades: 4/5

15MIN

Win Rate: 20.0%
Avg Gain: -2.82%
Avg Winner: +1.36%
Avg Loser: -3.86%
Best: +1.82%
Worst: -7.83%
Trades: 2/8

30MIN

Win Rate: 20.0%
Avg Gain: -2.19%
Avg Winner: +5.57%
Avg Loser: -4.13%
Best: +6.66%
Worst: -8.72%
Trades: 2/8

60MIN

Win Rate: 20.0%
Avg Gain: -3.21%
Avg Winner: +3.27%
Avg Loser: -4.83%
Best: +3.39%
Worst: -11.39%
Trades: 2/8

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: +0.58%
Avg Winner: +11.23%
Avg Loser: -6.52%
Best: +20.18%
Worst: -12.47%
Trades: 4/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +8.74%
Best MFE: +26.61%
Avg Time to MFE: 118 min

On average, ABOS alerts reach +8.74% profit potential within 118 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -4.16%
Worst MAE: -9.90%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.16%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.1:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.1x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 10 alerts, ABOS typically reaches +8.74% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 10
Gap Up % 40.0%
Avg Gap -0.45%
Best Gap +0.66%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How ABOS compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ABOS: -0.70% Sector: -0.41% -0.29%
EOD Gain
ABOS: +0.58% Sector: +1233.50% -1232.92%
Avg MFE
ABOS: +8.74% Sector: +6.69% +2.05%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ABOS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-03-08 09:29:52 $4.48 +1.34% +0.90% -0.22% -1.34% -2.46% +2.68% -0.67% -0.67% WIN
2023-07-26 09:26:00 $7.18 -0.84% -0.70% -0.84% -5.43% -1.11% +1.67% -6.55% +0.28% LOSS
2023-07-19 09:27:00 $7.85 - -1.15% -1.72% -1.78% -5.61% +1.66% -2.04% -1.91% -
2023-07-18 09:25:00 $9.14 -1.86% -3.06% -4.27% -8.26% -12.47% +0.66% -4.16% -0.98% LOSS
2023-07-17 09:29:00 $11.06 -3.89% -6.13% -8.72% -11.39% -12.12% +2.26% -7.41% -0.45% LOSS
2023-07-12 09:29:00 $6.04 +1.82% +1.82% +6.66% +3.39% +1.82% +15.07% -0.66% +0.66% WIN
2023-07-11 09:29:00 $5.75 -3.65% -6.43% -6.58% -1.91% +4.35% +11.13% -7.48% -0.03% LOSS
2022-09-30 09:25:00 $10.6 +0.00% -3.77% -3.88% -4.10% -5.38% +3.49% -0.38% +0.38% LOSS
2022-09-29 09:25:00 $8.72 -0.23% -1.83% +4.47% +3.14% +20.18% +22.13% -2.41% -2.06% LOSS
2022-09-28 09:25:00 $8.08 +0.26% -7.83% -6.81% -4.46% +18.56% +26.61% -9.90% +0.25% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ ABOS Shows Negative Expectancy

With 40.0% win rate and -0.70% average gain, ABOS alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider ABOS for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze ABOS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ABOS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ABOS historically offers an average upside of +8.74% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ABOS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 40.0%, ABOS shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests ABOS may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: ABOS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.70%). This suggests ABOS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.