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ACB Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 341 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-04 → 2025-02-07

🏢 Company Profile

Aurora Cannabis Inc. Common Shares
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 10, 2014 🔗 www.auroramj.com
💰 Market Cap: $244.4M 👥 Employees: 1,101
Aurora Cannabis Inc headquartered in Edmonton, Canada, cultivates and sells medicinal and recreational cannabis through a portfolio of brands that includes Drift, San Rafael '71, Daily Special, Whistler, Being, and Greybeard. Although the company operates in Canada, it has expanded internationally through medical cannabis exporting agreements. The company opertes in Canada, Europe, Australia, and Others, with majority revenue from Canada.
📊
341
Total Alerts
🎯
73.3%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+527.52%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+4.26%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 27.1%
Avg Gain: -0.69%
Avg Winner: +1.35%
Avg Loser: -1.51%
Best: +7.22%
Worst: -8.48%
Trades: 92/238

15MIN

Win Rate: 34.1%
Avg Gain: -0.92%
Avg Winner: +2.23%
Avg Loser: -2.61%
Best: +11.04%
Worst: -15.27%
Trades: 116/219

30MIN

Win Rate: 35.0%
Avg Gain: -0.79%
Avg Winner: +2.81%
Avg Loser: -2.78%
Best: +16.54%
Worst: -22.79%
Trades: 119/217

60MIN

Win Rate: 32.4%
Avg Gain: -0.94%
Avg Winner: +3.89%
Avg Loser: -3.29%
Best: +22.97%
Worst: -26.33%
Trades: 110/227

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 73.3%
Avg Gain: +527.52%
Avg Winner: +720.98%
Avg Loser: -4.10%
Best: +1484.00%
Worst: -25.66%
Trades: 250/88

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.26%
Best MFE: +63.13%
Avg Time to MFE: 98 min

On average, ACB alerts reach +4.26% profit potential within 98 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.84%
Worst MAE: -11.63%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.84%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.31:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.31x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 341 alerts, ACB typically reaches +4.26% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 341
Gap Up % 34.0%
Avg Gap -0.21%
Best Gap +3.53%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ACB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-07 09:27:35 $6.11 +2.94% +0.49% +1.80% +5.89% -1.31% +5.89% -3.44% -1.47% WIN
2025-02-06 09:29:58 $5.26 +7.22% +7.03% +4.18% +21.48% +18.82% +26.43% - +0.38% WIN
2025-02-05 09:29:07 $4.61 +2.07% +9.44% +13.23% +14.43% +16.49% +23.43% -0.87% +1.30% WIN
2024-11-06 09:29:01 $5.57 -4.67% -13.82% -8.87% -10.38% -8.08% +2.79% -0.90% -0.90% LOSS
2024-08-07 09:29:49 $6.3 -3.49% -3.65% -3.02% -3.15% -0.79% +8.06% -5.56% -1.11% LOSS
2024-06-20 09:25:52 $5.8 -0.86% -6.03% -5.34% -7.41% -4.83% +0.34% -1.21% -0.52% LOSS
2024-05-17 09:25:33 $7.56 -0.86% -1.98% -1.98% +0.13% -2.38% +1.85% +1.06% +0.66% LOSS
2024-05-14 09:29:36 $7.0 +0.93% +0.57% +1.12% +2.29% - +6.57% -2.14% -1.57% WIN
2024-05-06 09:29:46 $6.88 -0.44% -2.03% -0.80% -2.03% -3.49% +2.47% -0.58% - LOSS
2024-05-03 09:27:39 $7.01 -0.31% -1.14% -0.56% -0.43% -3.85% +4.14% -1.71% +0.43% LOSS
2024-05-02 09:28:33 $7.39 +2.30% +4.87% -1.89% -3.11% -5.68% +7.04% -0.14% +0.14% WIN
2024-05-01 09:28:13 $8.48 -4.23% -7.90% -12.50% -12.03% -13.21% +2.00% -2.36% +0.12% LOSS
2024-04-30 09:28:08 $6.36 -0.50% -1.42% -1.71% +1.02% +45.13% +47.01% -2.91% -0.63% LOSS
2024-04-29 09:28:01 $6.8 +1.18% -2.21% -2.90% -2.50% -7.06% +3.53% -1.47% - WIN
2024-04-25 09:29:18 $6.96 +0.49% -0.43% -0.72% +1.15% -3.59% +2.16% -1.15% +0.57% WIN
2024-04-24 09:26:54 $7.27 -0.83% +0.14% -0.41% +2.34% -0.96% +2.89% -3.16% +0.41% LOSS
2024-04-22 09:28:10 $6.55 -0.76% -2.14% -1.98% -4.12% -4.12% +1.53% -0.15% -0.15% LOSS
2024-04-19 09:26:58 $6.38 +4.75% +1.57% +4.87% +1.57% +1.25% +6.19% -2.04% -1.57% WIN
2024-04-17 09:29:41 $5.82 +1.38% +0.91% +0.52% -0.86% -0.52% +5.84% -6.53% -0.86% WIN
2024-04-15 09:27:59 $6.6 +0.45% -4.70% -2.88% -4.85% -4.85% +3.33% -1.36% -0.61% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 73.3% Baseline on ACB

The 73.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ACB's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ACB Strategy →

Why Analyze ACB with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ACB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ACB historically offers an average upside of +4.26% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ACB Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 73.3%, ACB shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ACB performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +527.52%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.