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ACGL Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-10-28 → 2025-02-10
⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, ACGL alerts reach +0.46% profit potential within 134 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.30%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, ACGL typically reaches +0.46% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.4% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE
How ACGL compares to 22 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical ACGL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-10 | 09:26:49 | $94.11 | -0.64% | -1.45% | -1.20% | -1.84% | -2.82% | -0.45% | -0.94% | -0.55% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-29 | 09:25:26 | $98.09 | -3.14% | -3.89% | -3.28% | -3.31% | -4.35% | -2.98% | -4.02% | -3.31% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-28 | 09:27:01 | $96.52 | -0.30% | +0.24% | -0.92% | -0.95% | -1.36% | +0.32% | -0.52% | -0.33% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:28:03 | $94.49 | -0.87% | +0.13% | +0.03% | +0.34% | +2.15% | +2.16% | -1.39% | -1.28% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-08 | 09:29:26 | $87.67 | -0.47% | -0.18% | -0.15% | -0.15% | -0.07% | +0.43% | -0.76% | -0.14% | LOSS |
| 2022-10-28 | 09:25:00 | $55.2 | +0.13% | +0.82% | +1.09% | +1.00% | +2.68% | +3.24% | -0.16% | - | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ ACGL Shows Negative Expectancy
With 50.0% win rate and -0.72% average gain, ACGL alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider ACGL for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze ACGL with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ACGL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, ACGL historically offers an average upside of +0.46% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 ACGL Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, ACGL shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests ACGL may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: ACGL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.72%). This suggests ACGL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.