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ACI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 34 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-11 → 2025-02-05

⚠️ Small sample size (34 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Albertsons Companies, Inc. RETAIL-GROCERY STORES (SIC 5411)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 26, 2020 🔗 www.albertsonscompanies.com
💰 Market Cap: $8.77B 👥 Employees: 280,000
Albertsons is the second-largest supermarket operator in the United States with about 2,300 stores across a variety of banners. Around 80% of the firm's sales comes from nonperishable and fresh food, of which 26% comes from its portfolio of private brands. The company operates fuel centers at about 20% of its store locations and pharmacies at 75%. Albertsons went public in 2020 following years of ownership under private equity firm Cerberus Capital Management, which still owns about a fourth of the outstanding shares.
📊
34
Total Alerts
🎯
45.5%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-0.56%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+1.04%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 39.4%
Avg Gain: -0.22%
Avg Winner: +0.48%
Avg Loser: -0.68%
Best: +1.88%
Worst: -1.99%
Trades: 13/20

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.39%
Avg Winner: +0.59%
Avg Loser: -0.88%
Best: +1.99%
Worst: -2.03%
Trades: 11/22

30MIN

Win Rate: 39.4%
Avg Gain: -0.45%
Avg Winner: +0.91%
Avg Loser: -1.40%
Best: +4.29%
Worst: -7.30%
Trades: 13/19

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: -0.56%
Avg Winner: +0.87%
Avg Loser: -1.75%
Best: +3.44%
Worst: -8.80%
Trades: 15/18

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 44.1%
Avg Gain: -0.50%
Avg Winner: +1.22%
Avg Loser: -1.87%
Best: +5.55%
Worst: -8.17%
Trades: 15/19

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.04%
Best MFE: +6.70%
Avg Time to MFE: 145 min

On average, ACI alerts reach +1.04% profit potential within 145 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.64%
Worst MAE: -2.95%
Avg Time to MAE: 24 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.64%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.62:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 34 alerts, ACI typically reaches +1.04% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 34
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap -0.09%
Best Gap +0.95%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-GROCERY STORES

How ACI compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ACI: -0.22% Sector: -0.17% -0.05%
EOD Gain
ACI: -0.52% Sector: -0.38% -0.14%
Avg MFE
ACI: +1.06% Sector: +2.84% -1.79%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ACI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-05 09:28:06 $20.24 +0.44% +0.10% -0.15% +0.20% +0.79% +1.01% -0.35% +0.05% WIN
2025-02-04 09:28:13 $19.63 +1.88% +1.99% +2.57% +2.55% +3.16% +3.41% -0.03% +0.41% WIN
2025-01-15 09:29:12 $20.72 -0.68% -0.97% -1.25% -2.80% -1.45% +0.10% -0.29% -0.05% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:29:33 $19.94 -1.25% -1.25% - -0.20% -0.30% +0.33% -1.81% +0.30% LOSS
2024-12-11 09:27:09 $19.16 -0.94% -1.91% -2.87% -3.42% -4.85% +0.47% -0.31% +0.21% LOSS
2024-12-03 09:29:07 $19.48 +0.21% +0.10% -0.15% -0.23% -0.72% +0.36% +0.05% +0.15% WIN
2024-11-18 09:27:41 $18.93 +0.79% +0.50% +0.77% +0.95% +0.42% +1.16% +0.05% +0.32% WIN
2024-11-06 09:29:02 $19.05 -0.66% -0.66% -0.71% +0.24% -1.05% +0.66% +0.08% +0.26% LOSS
2024-10-21 09:28:04 $19.07 -0.42% -0.37% -0.42% -0.39% -1.73% +0.16% -1.00% -0.10% LOSS
2024-10-18 09:29:23 $18.85 -1.99% -1.30% -1.22% -0.58% +0.80% +1.01% -2.28% +0.16% LOSS
2024-03-07 09:29:56 $20.62 +0.39% +0.51% +0.36% +0.58% +0.78% +1.48% -0.34% -0.24% WIN
2024-02-26 09:25:42 $21.69 -1.52% -1.91% -1.89% -1.84% -0.55% +0.28% -2.95% -1.38% LOSS
2024-02-01 00:00:00 $21.41 - - - - +0.05% +0.33% -1.45% -0.75% -
2023-09-08 09:29:00 $23.55 -0.19% +0.28% +0.49% +1.04% +0.34% +1.40% -0.21% +0.04% LOSS
2023-09-07 09:28:00 $23.09 +0.35% +0.37% +0.32% +0.26% -0.13% +1.19% -0.02% +0.04% WIN
2023-09-06 09:29:00 $22.84 +0.40% +0.68% +0.28% +0.24% +0.88% +1.53% -0.18% -0.09% WIN
2023-07-28 09:26:00 $21.5 +0.09% -0.02% +0.28% +0.28% +0.74% +0.93% -0.19% -0.09% WIN
2023-04-11 09:27:00 $21.0 -0.14% -0.21% -0.40% -0.38% -0.62% - -1.00% -0.76% LOSS
2023-02-23 09:27:00 $20.75 +0.43% +0.53% +0.72% +0.43% +0.14% +0.96% - +0.24% WIN
2023-02-07 09:29:00 $21.57 -1.16% -1.07% -1.25% -1.51% -0.93% -0.74% -1.21% -0.74% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ ACI Shows Negative Expectancy

With 45.5% win rate and -0.56% average gain, ACI alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider ACI for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze ACI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ACI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ACI historically offers an average upside of +1.04% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ACI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 45.5%, ACI shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests ACI may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: ACI shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.56%). This suggests ACI is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.