FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

KR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 83 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-25 → 2025-02-06

⚠️ Small sample size (83 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jan 12, 1951 🔗 www.thekrogerco.com
💰 Market Cap: $40.66B 👥 Employees: 409,000
Kroger is one of the largest grocery retailers in the United States with about 2,700 stores across a portfolio of more than 20 supermarket banners. The company boasts an ingrained presence in US communities, citing that it is a top-two grocer in most of its major market areas. Over one fourth of Kroger's roughly $110 billion in nonperishable and fresh food sales (about 75% of revenue) stems from its private-label portfolio, of which the company manufactures about 30% of units via its own food production plants. The company also operates fuel stations and pharmacies at 60% and 80% of its locations, respectively.
📊
83
Total Alerts
🎯
47.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.09%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.50%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 47.0%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.67%
Avg Loser: -0.45%
Best: +2.74%
Worst: -1.48%
Trades: 39/42

15MIN

Win Rate: 39.8%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.10%
Avg Loser: -0.68%
Best: +3.66%
Worst: -3.01%
Trades: 33/49

30MIN

Win Rate: 43.4%
Avg Gain: +0.16%
Avg Winner: +1.39%
Avg Loser: -0.80%
Best: +5.28%
Worst: -4.11%
Trades: 36/46

60MIN

Win Rate: 44.6%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +1.58%
Avg Loser: -1.14%
Best: +6.81%
Worst: -4.61%
Trades: 37/45

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 43.4%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +2.02%
Avg Loser: -1.50%
Best: +9.43%
Worst: -5.49%
Trades: 36/47

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.50%
Best MFE: +9.51%
Avg Time to MFE: 120 min

On average, KR alerts reach +1.50% profit potential within 120 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.56%
Worst MAE: -3.73%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.56%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.67:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.67x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 83 alerts, KR typically reaches +1.50% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 83
Gap Up % 41.0%
Avg Gap -0.05%
Best Gap +2.27%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-GROCERY STORES

How KR compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
KR: +0.09% Sector: -0.17% +0.26%
EOD Gain
KR: +0.03% Sector: -0.38% +0.41%
Avg MFE
KR: +1.50% Sector: +2.84% -1.34%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical KR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-06 09:26:29 $65.67 -0.08% -0.12% -0.67% -0.78% -1.16% +0.12% -0.29% +0.05% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:29:01 $61.29 +1.45% +2.12% +2.58% +3.83% +3.33% +4.58% +0.15% +0.15% WIN
2025-01-23 09:29:31 $58.99 -0.54% -0.67% -0.92% -1.25% -0.71% -0.34% -1.42% -0.49% LOSS
2024-12-18 09:29:33 $61.17 +0.03% +0.05% +0.57% +1.06% -0.46% +1.23% -0.80% -0.42% WIN
2024-12-05 09:27:53 $58.71 +1.70% +1.96% +2.28% +1.15% +3.41% +4.53% -0.32% - WIN
2024-11-27 09:26:04 $60.61 -0.20% -0.02% -0.02% +0.31% -0.18% +0.94% +0.26% +0.87% LOSS
2024-11-19 09:27:22 $58.5 -0.14% -0.92% -1.20% -1.59% -0.68% -0.02% -0.50% -0.38% LOSS
2024-11-11 09:28:34 $60.09 -0.78% -0.55% - +0.08% -0.82% +0.42% -1.03% -0.30% LOSS
2024-10-03 09:29:54 $56.5 -0.97% -1.72% -1.55% -1.36% -1.56% -0.68% -1.19% -0.73% LOSS
2024-10-01 09:27:39 $57.42 -0.79% -1.24% -1.06% -1.15% -1.24% -0.09% -0.54% -0.52% LOSS
2024-09-30 09:26:43 $56.7 - -0.49% +0.13% +0.48% +1.06% +1.19% -0.63% -0.21% -
2024-09-26 09:28:09 $56.55 -0.35% -0.32% -0.72% -0.72% -1.91% +0.16% -0.69% -0.23% LOSS
2024-09-09 09:28:12 $52.68 -0.85% -0.86% -0.27% -0.56% -1.35% -0.20% -1.39% -1.06% LOSS
2024-09-03 09:28:59 $53.38 -0.22% +0.02% -0.07% -0.07% +0.60% +0.82% -0.56% -0.19% LOSS
2024-08-30 09:27:04 $52.13 +0.77% +1.06% +1.00% +1.09% +2.07% +2.28% +0.59% +0.82% WIN
2024-08-21 09:27:34 $52.26 +0.78% +0.86% +1.34% +0.33% +0.86% +1.40% +0.21% +0.73% WIN
2024-08-19 09:26:38 $53.19 -0.28% -0.32% -0.32% -0.49% -0.81% - -0.11% -0.24% LOSS
2024-08-09 09:26:47 $54.45 -0.50% -1.48% -1.26% -0.88% -0.97% -0.41% -0.61% -0.57% LOSS
2024-07-17 09:26:42 $54.0 -0.69% -0.76% -0.31% -0.19% +1.48% +1.81% -0.87% -0.81% LOSS
2024-07-03 09:25:37 $50.55 +0.14% -0.06% -0.06% +0.62% +0.40% +1.05% -0.36% - WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 47.0% Baseline on KR

The 47.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push KR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize KR Strategy →

Why Analyze KR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for KR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, KR historically offers an average upside of +1.50% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 KR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 47.0%, KR shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show KR performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.09%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.