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ACLX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 5 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-06-16 → 2023-11-15

⚠️ Small sample size (5 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Feb 04, 2022 🔗 www.arcellx.com
💰 Market Cap: $3.91B 👥 Employees: 163
Arcellx Inc a clinical-stage biotechnology company reimagining cell therapy through the development of immunotherapies for patients with cancer and other incurable diseases. Its pipeline includes Multiple Myeloma, Acute Myeloid Leukemia, Non-Oncology, and Solid Tumors.
📊
5
Total Alerts
🎯
40.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.90%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+4.45%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 20.0%
Avg Gain: -1.21%
Avg Winner: +1.06%
Avg Loser: -1.78%
Best: +1.06%
Worst: -2.56%
Trades: 1/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.90%
Avg Winner: +0.53%
Avg Loser: -1.85%
Best: +0.53%
Worst: -2.75%
Trades: 2/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +4.28%
Avg Loser: -2.85%
Best: +6.91%
Worst: -3.54%
Trades: 2/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 20.0%
Avg Gain: -2.31%
Avg Winner: +3.44%
Avg Loser: -3.75%
Best: +3.44%
Worst: -6.36%
Trades: 1/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 20.0%
Avg Gain: -0.40%
Avg Winner: +6.99%
Avg Loser: -2.25%
Best: +6.99%
Worst: -4.74%
Trades: 1/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.45%
Best MFE: +9.09%
Avg Time to MFE: 53 min

On average, ACLX alerts reach +4.45% profit potential within 53 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.87%
Worst MAE: -10.10%
Avg Time to MAE: 22 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.87%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.55:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, ACLX typically reaches +4.45% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 5
Gap Up % 60.0%
Avg Gap +0.39%
Best Gap +1.85%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How ACLX compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ACLX: -1.21% Sector: -0.41% -0.80%
EOD Gain
ACLX: -0.40% Sector: +1233.50% -1233.90%
Avg MFE
ACLX: +4.45% Sector: +6.69% -2.24%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ACLX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-11-15 09:26:00 $52.48 -1.27% -1.00% -1.52% -3.72% -4.74% +3.96% -2.59% -0.91% LOSS
2023-09-13 09:25:00 $34.01 +1.06% +0.53% +1.65% -0.62% -1.68% +1.97% +0.53% +1.06% WIN
2023-06-20 09:28:00 $33.59 -2.38% -1.80% -3.54% -4.32% -1.07% +2.62% +0.86% +1.85% LOSS
2022-12-09 09:25:00 $26.19 -0.92% +0.53% +6.91% +3.44% +6.99% +9.09% -3.05% -0.11% LOSS
2022-06-16 09:25:00 $15.25 -2.56% -2.75% -3.48% -6.36% -1.51% +4.59% -10.10% +0.07% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ ACLX Shows Negative Expectancy

With 40.0% win rate and -0.90% average gain, ACLX alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider ACLX for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze ACLX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ACLX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ACLX historically offers an average upside of +4.45% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ACLX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 40.0%, ACLX shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests ACLX may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: ACLX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.90%). This suggests ACLX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.