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ADBE Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 108 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-05 → 2025-01-28

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 20, 1986 🔗 www.adobe.com
💰 Market Cap: $123.59B 👥 Employees: 31,360
Adobe provides content creation, document management, and digital marketing and advertising software and services to creative professionals and marketers for creating, managing, delivering, measuring, optimizing, and engaging with compelling content multiple operating systems, devices, and media. The company operates with three segments: digital media content creation, digital experience for marketing solutions, and publishing for legacy products (less than 5% of revenue).
📊
108
Total Alerts
🎯
58.3%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.01%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+1.41%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 51.9%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.44%
Avg Loser: -0.62%
Best: +1.82%
Worst: -2.16%
Trades: 56/51

15MIN

Win Rate: 58.3%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.59%
Avg Loser: -0.79%
Best: +2.96%
Worst: -2.31%
Trades: 63/45

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.9%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.79%
Avg Loser: -0.86%
Best: +2.68%
Worst: -3.29%
Trades: 55/53

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.4%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +0.91%
Avg Loser: -0.95%
Best: +3.07%
Worst: -3.28%
Trades: 49/59

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 46.3%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +1.58%
Avg Loser: -1.64%
Best: +5.51%
Worst: -5.83%
Trades: 50/58

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.41%
Best MFE: +6.39%
Avg Time to MFE: 123 min

On average, ADBE alerts reach +1.41% profit potential within 123 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.59%
Worst MAE: -3.15%
Avg Time to MAE: 16 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.59%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.39:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.39x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 108 alerts, ADBE typically reaches +1.41% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 108
Gap Up % 38.9%
Avg Gap -0.11%
Best Gap +0.73%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How ADBE compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ADBE: -0.06% Sector: -0.09% +0.03%
EOD Gain
ADBE: -0.15% Sector: +73.64% -73.79%
Avg MFE
ADBE: +1.41% Sector: +4.32% -2.91%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ADBE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-28 09:26:40 $436.19 -0.71% -0.38% +0.26% +1.73% +1.52% +2.20% -1.04% +0.02% LOSS
2025-01-07 09:29:15 $431.03 +0.41% +0.35% +0.63% -0.14% -1.95% +0.96% +0.03% +0.08% WIN
2025-01-03 09:29:26 $429.2 +0.45% +0.79% -0.09% -0.01% +0.32% +0.95% -0.90% +0.06% WIN
2024-12-16 09:28:49 $466.54 -0.26% -0.96% +0.07% +1.17% -1.07% +1.52% -1.07% +0.14% LOSS
2024-12-12 09:25:01 $490.22 -0.27% -0.61% -1.71% -1.68% -3.18% +0.77% -1.64% -0.55% LOSS
2024-12-11 09:27:19 $548.83 -0.03% +0.06% -0.59% +0.02% +0.20% +0.63% -0.35% -0.32% LOSS
2024-11-26 09:26:50 $520.59 +0.16% -0.05% -0.22% -0.34% +0.90% +0.99% -0.81% -0.12% WIN
2024-11-01 09:27:29 $477.77 +0.02% +0.37% +0.63% +1.32% +1.05% +1.55% -0.57% -0.49% WIN
2024-10-30 09:28:28 $483.88 +0.40% +0.43% +0.51% +1.06% +0.58% +1.72% -0.34% -0.34% WIN
2024-10-28 09:28:33 $485.76 +0.32% +0.48% +0.06% +0.19% -0.97% +0.56% -0.07% +0.39% WIN
2024-10-07 09:25:16 $507.66 -1.11% -0.79% -1.22% -1.59% -4.01% -0.37% -0.53% -0.73% LOSS
2024-09-30 09:28:37 $514.24 +0.10% +0.01% +0.01% +0.48% +0.69% +0.82% -0.49% -0.08% WIN
2024-09-26 09:26:01 $520.56 -0.20% -0.35% -0.39% -0.63% -1.00% +0.18% +0.18% -0.01% LOSS
2024-07-11 09:26:49 $560.0 +0.55% +1.80% +2.15% +0.46% -0.42% +2.25% +0.53% +0.71% WIN
2024-06-18 09:26:28 $512.74 +1.03% +1.38% +2.68% +3.07% +1.85% +3.44% +0.08% +0.38% WIN
2024-06-17 09:28:20 $525.31 -1.62% -2.10% -1.02% -2.86% -1.25% +0.12% -0.25% +0.04% LOSS
2024-06-14 09:28:27 $530.35 -1.18% -1.01% -0.69% -1.07% -0.95% +0.77% -0.33% -0.02% LOSS
2024-06-10 09:26:27 $459.3 -0.73% +0.32% +0.41% +0.09% +0.14% +0.64% -1.70% -1.19% LOSS
2024-06-05 09:27:58 $451.0 +0.63% +0.30% +0.81% +0.20% +1.06% +1.69% -0.58% -0.40% WIN
2024-05-28 09:28:59 $473.81 -0.45% -0.38% -0.54% -0.55% +0.98% +1.03% -0.89% -0.17% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 58.3% Baseline on ADBE

The 58.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ADBE's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ADBE Strategy →

Why Analyze ADBE with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ADBE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ADBE historically offers an average upside of +1.41% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ADBE Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 58.3%, ADBE shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ADBE performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.01%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.