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ADMA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 14 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-10 → 2025-01-13

⚠️ Small sample size (14 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 17, 2013 🔗 www.admabiologics.com
💰 Market Cap: $3.98B 👥 Employees: 685
ADMA Biologics Inc is an end-to-end commercial biopharmaceutical company dedicated to manufacturing, marketing and developing specialty plasma-derived biologics for the treatment of immunodeficient patients at risk for infection and others at risk for certain infectious diseases. The segments of the company are ADMA BioManufacturing which generates maximum revenue and Plasma Collection Centres, and corporate segment. The company sells plasma-derived intermediate fractions to certain customers, which are generated as part of its FDA-approved manufacturing process for IG and IVIG products. It also provides laboratory contracting services to certain customers and anticipates providing contract filling, labeling and packing services. The company derives maximum revenue from United States.
📊
14
Total Alerts
🎯
71.4%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+3.69%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+6.88%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: +0.27%
Avg Winner: +2.32%
Avg Loser: -1.45%
Best: +7.86%
Worst: -3.74%
Trades: 6/7

15MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: +2.24%
Avg Winner: +5.64%
Avg Loser: -2.29%
Best: +13.38%
Worst: -5.00%
Trades: 8/6

30MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: +1.96%
Avg Winner: +4.80%
Avg Loser: -1.82%
Best: +8.28%
Worst: -4.06%
Trades: 8/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: +2.27%
Avg Winner: +5.09%
Avg Loser: -1.49%
Best: +10.55%
Worst: -2.92%
Trades: 8/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +3.69%
Avg Winner: +6.59%
Avg Loser: -3.56%
Best: +12.01%
Worst: -8.34%
Trades: 10/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.88%
Best MFE: +14.94%
Avg Time to MFE: 166 min

On average, ADMA alerts reach +6.88% profit potential within 166 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.74%
Worst MAE: -4.83%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.74%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.95:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.95x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 14 alerts, ADMA typically reaches +6.88% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 14
Gap Up % 42.9%
Avg Gap +0.01%
Best Gap +4.14%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How ADMA compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ADMA: +0.27% Sector: -0.41% +0.68%
EOD Gain
ADMA: +3.69% Sector: +1233.50% -1229.81%
Avg MFE
ADMA: +6.88% Sector: +6.69% +0.19%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ADMA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-13 09:26:48 $17.99 +1.11% -5.00% -4.06% -2.92% -8.34% +1.17% -0.50% -0.18% WIN
2024-11-01 09:25:15 $17.97 +1.89% +10.46% +7.93% +10.55% +7.79% +12.30% -0.11% +1.78% WIN
2024-08-09 09:26:36 $14.5 +7.86% +13.38% +8.28% +7.52% +10.07% +14.76% - +4.14% WIN
2024-05-10 09:29:37 $8.19 +1.47% +1.77% +4.76% +3.42% +7.57% +10.13% -2.81% +0.12% WIN
2023-11-01 09:27:00 $3.41 -0.29% -1.03% -0.88% -0.15% +3.23% +3.23% -1.76% -0.88% LOSS
2023-05-11 09:28:00 $3.86 -1.38% -0.91% -1.30% -1.84% +2.59% +4.40% -3.11% +1.04% LOSS
2023-03-24 09:26:00 $3.39 +0.86% -3.18% -1.62% +0.47% -2.06% +1.47% -4.13% -3.24% WIN
2023-02-08 09:28:00 $3.85 -0.52% -1.69% -2.08% -0.78% -1.56% +1.04% +0.26% +1.04% LOSS
2023-01-17 09:29:00 $3.5 +0.71% +3.75% +1.00% -2.29% -2.29% +4.29% -1.29% -0.29% WIN
2022-12-07 09:25:00 $3.08 -0.65% +10.88% +4.71% +5.03% +12.01% +14.94% -1.95% -0.65% LOSS
2022-11-25 09:25:00 $3.14 -0.96% +1.75% +5.41% +5.10% +3.50% +6.05% -0.96% - LOSS
2022-03-25 09:25:00 $1.53 -2.61% -1.96% -0.98% -0.98% +6.54% +6.54% -2.61% -0.65% LOSS
2022-02-24 09:25:00 $1.45 -3.74% +0.05% +1.03% +3.10% +8.28% +8.28% -4.83% -2.76% LOSS
2022-02-10 09:25:00 $1.62 - +3.09% +5.25% +5.56% +4.32% +7.72% -0.62% +0.62% -

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 71.4% Baseline on ADMA

The 71.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ADMA's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ADMA Strategy →

Why Analyze ADMA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ADMA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ADMA historically offers an average upside of +6.88% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ADMA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 71.4%, ADMA shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ADMA performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +3.69%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.