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Latest signal:

ADSK Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 33 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-24 → 2025-01-22

⚠️ Small sample size (33 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 01, 1985 🔗 www.autodesk.com
💰 Market Cap: $57.24B 👥 Employees: 15,300
Founded in 1982, Autodesk is a multinational software company best known for pioneering computer-aided design, or CAD, with its AutoCAD product. Nowadays, Autodesk provides design software for a variety of verticals, including architecture & construction, manufacturing, and media & entertainment. Autodesk products have been used in some of the world's most iconic landmarks, like Burj Khalifa, and well-known movie titles like Avatar.
📊
33
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.65%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.81%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 51.5%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.50%
Avg Loser: -0.59%
Best: +1.41%
Worst: -2.31%
Trades: 17/15

15MIN

Win Rate: 57.6%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.60%
Avg Loser: -0.67%
Best: +1.50%
Worst: -1.63%
Trades: 19/14

30MIN

Win Rate: 57.6%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.84%
Avg Loser: -1.01%
Best: +1.84%
Worst: -3.24%
Trades: 19/14

60MIN

Win Rate: 60.6%
Avg Gain: +0.13%
Avg Winner: +1.09%
Avg Loser: -1.34%
Best: +2.17%
Worst: -4.00%
Trades: 20/13

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.65%
Avg Winner: +1.78%
Avg Loser: -1.61%
Best: +6.35%
Worst: -3.73%
Trades: 22/11

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.81%
Best MFE: +6.42%
Avg Time to MFE: 200 min

On average, ADSK alerts reach +1.81% profit potential within 200 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.73%
Worst MAE: -2.69%
Avg Time to MAE: 18 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.73%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.49:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.49x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 33 alerts, ADSK typically reaches +1.81% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 33
Gap Up % 36.4%
Avg Gap -0.08%
Best Gap +1.28%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How ADSK compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ADSK: -0.01% Sector: -0.09% +0.08%
EOD Gain
ADSK: +0.65% Sector: +73.64% -72.99%
Avg MFE
ADSK: +1.81% Sector: +4.32% -2.51%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ADSK alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-22 09:28:24 $297.47 +0.06% +0.41% +0.82% +0.68% +1.34% +1.59% -0.15% -0.02% WIN
2024-11-20 09:27:48 $306.8 -0.39% -0.76% -0.80% -0.69% +0.34% +0.52% -1.19% -0.29% LOSS
2024-10-31 09:25:25 $287.67 -0.12% +0.07% -0.13% -0.20% -1.35% +0.28% -0.13% +0.05% LOSS
2024-09-05 09:28:21 $256.88 -1.28% -0.76% -1.14% -0.83% -1.99% +0.11% +0.11% +0.05% LOSS
2024-08-06 09:28:48 $231.48 +0.17% +0.58% +1.34% +0.78% +1.19% +2.16% -0.93% -0.45% WIN
2024-08-02 09:27:42 $237.2 -1.31% -1.49% -1.34% -1.16% -2.46% +0.34% -0.40% -0.22% LOSS
2024-06-26 09:27:48 $240.27 +0.45% +0.93% +1.01% +1.43% +1.25% +2.11% +0.09% +0.09% WIN
2024-04-17 09:28:52 $213.0 +1.11% +0.64% -0.29% -1.17% +0.90% +3.05% -2.62% -0.11% WIN
2024-03-01 09:25:07 $275.0 +0.39% -1.63% -3.24% -4.00% -3.73% +1.65% -0.37% - WIN
2023-12-08 09:25:00 $222.9 -0.40% +0.33% +0.52% +0.81% +0.50% +1.08% -0.45% -0.37% LOSS
2023-11-30 09:26:00 $216.98 - -0.85% -1.26% -1.11% +0.67% +0.83% -1.97% -0.81% -
2023-11-22 09:26:00 $204.5 -0.22% -0.05% -0.56% +1.11% -0.90% +1.98% -2.18% -1.59% LOSS
2023-11-10 09:28:00 $204.68 -0.21% +0.34% +0.12% +0.57% +2.88% +3.11% -0.47% +0.28% LOSS
2023-11-06 09:28:00 $203.54 -0.10% -0.54% -0.75% -1.25% -0.76% -0.10% -0.62% -0.18% LOSS
2023-11-03 09:28:00 $200.85 +0.69% +0.99% +1.55% +1.13% +1.56% +2.24% -0.28% -0.05% WIN
2023-10-16 09:29:00 $209.98 +0.91% +0.45% +0.77% +1.40% +0.86% +1.90% +0.06% +0.50% WIN
2023-10-12 09:29:00 $214.6 -0.91% -1.51% -0.73% -0.59% -0.85% +0.19% -1.62% -0.36% LOSS
2023-09-28 09:25:00 $200.78 +0.84% +1.50% +1.84% +1.74% +3.54% +3.88% +0.58% +0.75% WIN
2023-09-25 09:26:00 $202.5 +0.21% +0.80% +0.97% +0.68% +1.57% +1.58% -0.25% +0.25% WIN
2023-09-19 09:29:00 $212.01 -0.09% -0.14% -0.56% -0.93% +0.02% +0.28% -0.23% +0.06% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on ADSK

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ADSK's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ADSK Strategy →

Why Analyze ADSK with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ADSK. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ADSK historically offers an average upside of +1.81% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ADSK Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, ADSK shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ADSK performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.65%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.