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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$ADTN

Trade-Ideas alerts 50.0% at 60-min n=20 2022-07-29 → 2026-10-02

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 20 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock TELEPHONE & TELEGRAPH APPARATUS (SIC 3661)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 09, 1994 🔗 www.adtran.com
💰 Market Cap: $573.6M 👥 Employees: 3,338
Adtran Holdings Inc is a provider of networking and communications platforms, software, and services focused on the broadband access market. It operates under two reportable segments: Network Solutions segment, which includes hardware and software products that enable a digital future that supports the company's Subscriber, Access & Aggregation, and Optical Networking Solutions; and Services & Support segment, which includes network design, implementation, maintenance and cloud-hosted services supporting the company's Subscriber, Access & Aggregation, and Optical Networking Solutions. It generates the majority of its revenue from the Network Solutions segment.
Total alerts
20
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 60MIN
50.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 60MIN
-0.36%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+3.42%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading ADTN on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 35.0%
Avg Gain: -0.70%
Avg Winner: +1.42%
Avg Loser: -1.85%
Best: +3.19%
Worst: -4.94%
Trades: 7/13

15MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.98%
Avg Winner: +1.91%
Avg Loser: -1.95%
Best: +4.64%
Worst: -7.63%
Trades: 5/15

30MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.77%
Avg Winner: +1.52%
Avg Loser: -2.29%
Best: +5.80%
Worst: -9.60%
Trades: 8/12

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.36%
Avg Winner: +2.29%
Avg Loser: -3.00%
Best: +7.17%
Worst: -11.42%
Trades: 10/10

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.62%
Avg Winner: +4.00%
Avg Loser: -2.76%
Best: +14.79%
Worst: -12.20%
Trades: 10/10

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.42%
Best MFE: +18.22%
Avg Time to MFE: 94 min

On average, ADTN alerts reach +3.42% profit potential within 94 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.41%
Worst MAE: -6.27%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.41%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.43:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.43x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 20 alerts, ADTN typically reaches +3.42% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 20
Gap Up % 30.0%
Avg Gap -0.22%
Best Gap +1.77%

🏭 Sector Comparison: TELEPHONE & TELEGRAPH APPARATUS

How ADTN compares to 7 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ADTN: -0.70% Sector: -0.39% -0.31%
EOD Gain
ADTN: +0.62% Sector: +199.46% -198.85%
Avg MFE
ADTN: +3.42% Sector: +7.70% -4.28%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ADTN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $7.12 +0.63% -0.70% -0.14% +1.26% -1.12% +1.83% -1.14% +0.98% WIN
2026-08-17 09:25:00 $8.65 -0.12% -1.16% -1.43% -2.43% +0.06% +0.88% -0.92% -0.58% LOSS
2026-08-12 09:25:00 $7.93 +2.40% +1.51% +2.08% +3.28% +2.90% +4.60% +0.76% +1.77% WIN
2026-08-04 09:25:00 $8.9 -1.35% +0.56% -1.24% +0.62% -1.57% +3.38% -2.47% +0.99% LOSS
2026-07-22 09:25:00 $9.49 +0.95% +4.64% +5.80% +7.17% +10.12% +10.43% -2.42% +1.48% WIN
2026-06-30 09:25:00 $13.85 -0.29% -2.02% +0.04% +1.08% +0.36% +1.59% -2.45% -0.87% LOSS
2026-06-02 09:25:00 $18.22 -0.82% -0.02% +0.17% +1.41% +0.23% +3.19% -1.53% -1.39% LOSS
2026-06-01 09:25:00 $16.5 +1.76% +1.94% +1.55% +4.91% +8.30% +8.67% -0.79% -0.30% WIN
2026-05-29 09:25:00 $17.17 -2.97% -4.25% -3.16% -3.87% -3.61% +0.47% +0.17% -0.09% LOSS
2026-05-28 09:25:00 $19.27 -4.83% -7.63% -9.60% -11.42% -12.20% +0.67% +0.00% -2.13% LOSS
2026-05-27 09:25:00 $16.9 -1.36% -0.59% +0.09% +2.01% +14.79% +18.22% -1.83% -0.65% LOSS
2026-05-18 09:25:00 $15.26 +0.39% -0.88% -0.66% -0.92% -1.97% +1.18% -0.07% +0.00% WIN
2026-05-11 09:25:00 $16.0 -1.16% -1.34% -0.75% -1.06% -2.00% +1.33% -1.56% -0.56% LOSS
2026-05-05 09:25:00 $15.75 -2.70% -3.62% -3.87% -5.65% -2.86% +1.90% -0.57% +0.73% LOSS
2026-05-04 09:25:00 $18.3 +0.60% +0.90% +1.53% +0.87% +0.22% +1.81% +0.27% +0.82% WIN
2026-04-24 09:25:00 $17.01 -0.62% -0.68% -2.41% -0.47% -0.47% +0.35% -0.88% -0.06% LOSS
2026-04-10 09:25:00 $15.12 -0.10% -1.52% -0.86% -0.63% -0.20% +0.86% -0.79% -0.46% LOSS
2023-08-07 09:28:00 $7.21 +3.19% -0.97% +0.90% -1.53% +1.39% +4.02% -1.94% -1.53% WIN
2023-04-11 09:27:00 $11.33 -4.94% -0.66% -0.31% +0.26% +1.59% +3.31% -6.27% -0.44% LOSS
2022-07-29 09:25:00 $24.49 -2.76% -3.14% -3.10% -2.04% -1.63% -0.29% -3.67% -2.16% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ ADTN Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.36% average gain, ADTN alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider ADTN for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze ADTN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ADTN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ADTN historically offers an average upside of +3.42% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ADTN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, ADTN shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests ADTN may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: ADTN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.36%). This suggests ADTN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.