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AEG Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 77 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-01-15

⚠️ Small sample size (77 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Aegon Ltd.
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 01, 1985 🔗 www.aegon.com
💰 Market Cap: $11.77B 👥 Employees: 15,500
Aegon is a life insurance and long-term savings business listed in the Netherlands. It was listed on the Amsterdam Stock Exchange in the 1980s and now has mature operations in the United States, the United Kingdom, and four growth markets of Brazil, China, Portugal, and Spain. Over recent years, Aegon has been moving through an extensive transformation program where management has sought to divest noncore operations and improve the risk profile of the business. Financial assets are the parts of the company that are now being run off. Aegon is looking to cycle out of capital-consumptive and volatile earnings products and recycle funds into capital-light and more predictable strategic businesses.
📊
77
Total Alerts
🎯
54.5%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.08%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+1.20%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.2%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.30%
Avg Loser: -0.23%
Best: +0.80%
Worst: -0.55%
Trades: 34/26

15MIN

Win Rate: 49.4%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.42%
Avg Loser: -0.42%
Best: +1.40%
Worst: -1.89%
Trades: 38/32

30MIN

Win Rate: 54.5%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.63%
Avg Loser: -0.65%
Best: +1.99%
Worst: -2.12%
Trades: 42/31

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.1%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.74%
Avg Loser: -0.66%
Best: +2.25%
Worst: -3.07%
Trades: 37/33

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 29.9%
Avg Gain: -0.99%
Avg Winner: +1.44%
Avg Loser: -2.23%
Best: +6.91%
Worst: -6.51%
Trades: 23/49

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.20%
Best MFE: +7.56%
Avg Time to MFE: 122 min

On average, AEG alerts reach +1.20% profit potential within 122 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.42%
Worst MAE: -3.30%
Avg Time to MAE: 21 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.42%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.83:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.83x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 77 alerts, AEG typically reaches +1.20% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 77
Gap Up % 35.1%
Avg Gap +0.02%
Best Gap +0.80%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AEG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-15 09:26:45 $6.26 -0.24% -0.16% +0.32% - -0.16% +0.64% -0.48% - LOSS
2025-01-06 09:29:27 $6.0 +0.17% -0.08% +0.48% +0.66% +0.17% +1.50% -0.17% - WIN
2024-12-18 09:29:53 $5.86 +0.09% +0.09% +0.17% - -3.07% +0.34% -0.17% - WIN
2024-12-16 09:25:30 $6.04 -0.33% -1.00% -1.16% -0.57% -1.49% +0.50% -1.41% -0.33% LOSS
2024-12-13 09:26:55 $6.37 +0.08% +0.08% -0.24% -0.33% -0.94% +0.31% - +0.31% WIN
2024-12-09 09:28:56 $6.52 +0.08% +0.08% +0.23% -0.31% -1.53% +0.31% - - WIN
2024-05-29 09:25:22 $6.44 +0.16% +0.16% +0.54% +0.62% +0.62% +0.78% - +0.16% WIN
2024-05-28 09:28:29 $6.56 - -0.15% -0.38% -0.23% -1.52% +0.30% -0.53% - -
2024-05-24 09:29:19 $6.71 -0.15% -0.15% -0.22% - -0.15% +0.75% -0.30% -0.30% LOSS
2024-05-10 09:26:20 $6.6 - -0.15% -0.15% -0.38% +0.30% +0.30% -0.61% - -
2024-04-04 09:26:45 $6.25 -0.16% -0.08% -0.08% -0.16% -2.08% +0.16% -0.32% -0.32% LOSS
2024-03-01 09:25:07 $5.7 -0.18% -0.18% -1.14% -0.44% -2.11% +0.09% -0.35% - LOSS
2023-11-30 09:27:00 $5.46 -0.09% -0.18% +0.46% +0.27% +0.55% +0.73% -0.37% - LOSS
2023-11-08 09:28:00 $4.97 -0.01% +0.20% +0.10% - - +0.40% -0.10% - LOSS
2023-09-27 09:26:00 $4.71 - -0.59% -0.53% -1.06% -1.06% +0.11% -0.21% - -
2023-09-05 09:29:00 $5.0 +0.30% - - -0.40% -1.20% +0.40% +0.30% +0.40% WIN
2023-08-21 09:29:00 $5.2 +0.19% -0.29% -0.29% -0.87% - +0.38% - - WIN
2023-08-11 09:27:00 $5.46 -0.55% -0.37% -0.27% -0.09% +0.18% +0.37% -0.55% -0.37% LOSS
2023-07-31 09:26:00 $5.41 -0.09% +0.46% +0.70% +0.65% -0.37% +0.92% -0.18% -0.18% LOSS
2023-05-26 09:28:00 $4.47 -0.11% +0.22% +0.11% +0.67% +0.45% +0.89% -0.22% -0.22% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 54.5% Baseline on AEG

The 54.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AEG's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AEG Strategy →

Why Analyze AEG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AEG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AEG historically offers an average upside of +1.20% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AEG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 54.5%, AEG shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AEG performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.08%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.