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AEHR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 20 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-10 β†’ 2025-01-14

⚠️ Small sample size (20 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏒 Company Profile

πŸ“ NASDAQ πŸ“… IPO: Aug 15, 1997 πŸ”— www.aehr.com
πŸ’° Market Cap: $858.8M πŸ‘₯ Employees: 136
Aehr Test Systems is engaged in test systems for burning-in and testing logic, optical, and memory integrated circuits. Increased quality and reliability needs of the Automotive and Mobility integrated circuit markets. The Company operates in one business segment, the designing, manufacturing, marketing and selling of advanced test and burn-in products to the semiconductor manufacturing industry in several geographic areas. The company provides production solutions across the product manufacturing flow to improve yield and reliability and has developed and introduced several inventiveΒ products, including the ABTSTM and FOX-PTM families of test and burn-in systems and FOX WaferPakTM Aligner, FOX-XP WaferPak Contactor, FOX DiePak Carrier and FOX DiePak Loader.
πŸ“Š
20
Total Alerts
🎯
65.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
πŸ’°
-0.05%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
πŸš€
+9.31%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

πŸ“ˆ Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 65.0%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +2.69%
Avg Loser: -5.14%
Best: +6.51%
Worst: -12.99%
Trades: 13/7

15MIN

Win Rate: 55.0%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +4.54%
Avg Loser: -6.08%
Best: +8.72%
Worst: -11.08%
Trades: 11/8

30MIN

Win Rate: 55.0%
Avg Gain: +0.42%
Avg Winner: +5.14%
Avg Loser: -5.35%
Best: +13.62%
Worst: -10.78%
Trades: 11/9

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.00%
Avg Winner: +6.05%
Avg Loser: -4.05%
Best: +12.69%
Worst: -9.28%
Trades: 10/10

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 65.0%
Avg Gain: +3.38%
Avg Winner: +8.47%
Avg Loser: -6.06%
Best: +22.06%
Worst: -11.75%
Trades: 13/7

πŸš€ Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

πŸ“ˆ MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +9.31%
Best MFE: +23.30%
Avg Time to MFE: 203 min

On average, AEHR alerts reach +9.31% profit potential within 203 minutes.

πŸ“‰ MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -4.62%
Worst MAE: -17.95%
Avg Time to MAE: 14 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.62%.

βš–οΈ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.01:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.01x the typical drawdown.

πŸ’‘ Trading Insight: Based on 20 alerts, AEHR typically reaches +9.31% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.4% to capture most of the move.

πŸŒ… Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 β†’ 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 20
Gap Up % 40.0%
Avg Gap -0.48%
Best Gap +5.16%

🏭 Sector Comparison: INSTRUMENTS FOR MEAS & TESTING OF ELECTRICITY & ELEC SIGNALS

How AEHR compares to 7 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AEHR: -0.05% Sector: -0.62% +0.56%
EOD Gain
AEHR: +3.38% Sector: -0.15% +3.53%
Avg MFE
AEHR: +9.31% Sector: +4.53% +4.77%

πŸ“‹ Last 20 Alerts

Historical AEHR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-14 09:25:16 $12.83 +0.92% -6.92% -6.70% -9.28% -9.12% +2.10% -6.16% -3.35% WIN
2024-12-16 09:27:27 $13.36 +6.51% - -1.83% +0.15% +8.46% +12.65% -5.54% +5.16% WIN
2024-11-01 09:29:57 $13.41 +1.38% +2.07% +0.07% +3.13% -9.99% +4.62% -1.57% - WIN
2024-10-11 09:27:26 $15.08 -2.88% -5.90% -7.13% -3.32% +6.23% +10.41% -10.15% +0.20% LOSS
2024-07-17 09:28:38 $19.21 +0.82% +2.72% +3.38% +2.08% +7.29% +11.61% -4.01% +0.26% WIN
2024-07-10 09:29:23 $14.76 +4.70% +6.98% +6.37% +3.86% +4.27% +11.31% -0.47% +0.07% WIN
2024-03-25 09:26:33 $12.03 +5.32% +5.12% +0.21% -0.33% -5.49% +9.48% -7.65% -2.99% WIN
2024-02-21 09:25:37 $18.0 +0.57% -1.67% +0.11% -3.83% -5.00% +2.28% -1.22% - WIN
2023-12-14 09:28:00 $29.07 -0.76% +2.03% -0.45% -1.57% +2.82% +4.92% -3.34% -0.58% LOSS
2023-10-06 09:28:00 $39.03 -4.48% -5.35% -8.07% -5.87% -1.00% +2.18% -9.40% -0.72% LOSS
2023-07-14 09:27:00 $44.0 +4.80% +6.30% +9.41% +8.94% +11.27% +13.18% +0.59% +1.20% WIN
2023-04-27 09:27:00 $23.4 +1.37% +1.47% +0.81% +0.06% +3.29% +4.83% -1.26% +0.94% WIN
2023-03-31 09:26:00 $35.15 -10.65% -8.65% -10.78% -3.49% -11.75% -0.03% -1.82% -5.35% LOSS
2023-03-02 09:28:00 $28.64 -12.99% -11.08% -4.08% -2.43% +6.49% +12.95% -17.95% +0.17% LOSS
2023-01-06 09:28:00 $21.0 +1.52% +5.19% +13.62% +11.60% +8.62% +19.00% -0.95% - WIN
2022-10-07 09:25:00 $14.8 +4.06% +8.72% +11.80% +12.16% +16.15% +16.89% -0.41% +0.07% WIN
2022-09-13 09:25:00 $14.19 +2.82% +8.53% +10.11% +12.69% +12.69% +18.89% -1.69% -0.63% WIN
2022-08-09 09:25:00 $16.54 -1.93% -5.02% -6.05% -8.40% +0.42% +1.45% -8.89% -2.54% LOSS
2022-07-20 09:25:00 $9.7 -2.27% -4.02% +0.62% +5.88% +22.06% +23.30% -4.85% -1.24% LOSS
2022-01-10 09:25:00 $14.83 +0.13% +0.83% -3.03% -1.96% -0.10% +4.11% -5.73% -0.28% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ AEHR Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 65.0% win rate, AEHR has -0.05% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making AEHR profitable.

πŸ”§ Fix AEHR Risk/Reward β†’

Why Analyze AEHR with FILTRIX?

πŸ›‘οΈ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AEHR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

πŸ’° Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AEHR historically offers an average upside of +9.31% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

πŸ“Š AEHR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 65.0%, AEHR shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-5.14%) outweigh average wins (+2.69%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: AEHR shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.05%). This suggests AEHR is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.