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AERT Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 5 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-11-08 → 2024-12-30
⚠️ Small sample size (5 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, AERT alerts reach +38.91% profit potential within 91 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 7.05%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 5.52x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, AERT typically reaches +38.91% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 31.1% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-MANAGEMENT CONSULTING SERVICES
How AERT compares to 12 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical AERT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-30 | 09:25:39 | $1.0 | -1.00% | -3.00% | +4.50% | +7.00% | +43.00% | +167.00% | -12.31% | +8.00% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-13 | 09:27:00 | $1.72 | -0.58% | -1.16% | +8.72% | +4.07% | +4.07% | +13.95% | -1.74% | -1.74% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-10 | 09:26:00 | $1.87 | -2.67% | -6.95% | -11.23% | -11.05% | -10.70% | +4.28% | -19.79% | -1.07% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-09 | 09:27:00 | $2.27 | -4.41% | -7.08% | +0.88% | -1.32% | -5.73% | +4.85% | - | +2.20% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-08 | 09:28:00 | $3.58 | -1.12% | -9.78% | -15.78% | -23.19% | - | +4.47% | -1.40% | +0.56% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ AERT Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 60.0% win rate, AERT has -2.58% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making AERT profitable.
🔧 Fix AERT Risk/Reward →Why Analyze AERT with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AERT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, AERT historically offers an average upside of +38.91% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 AERT Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, AERT shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-13.51%) outweigh average wins (+4.70%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: AERT shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -2.58%). This suggests AERT is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.