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AESI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 5 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-03-11 → 2025-01-31

⚠️ Small sample size (5 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS (SIC 1311)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Mar 09, 2023 🔗 www.atlas.energy
💰 Market Cap: $1.48B 👥 Employees: 1,143
Atlas Energy Solutions Inc is a provider of proppant and logistics services to the oil and natural gas industry within the Permian Basin of West Texas and New Mexico, the most active oil and natural gas basin in North America. Proppant is necessary to facilitate the recovery of hydrocarbons from oil and natural gas wells. One hundred percent of its sand reserves are located in Winkler and Ward Counties, Texas, within the Permian Basin, and its operations consist of proppant production and processing facilities, including two facilities near Kermit, Texas, and a third facility near Monahans, Texas.
📊
5
Total Alerts
🎯
80.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+1.04%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+3.19%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 80.0%
Avg Gain: +1.04%
Avg Winner: +2.08%
Avg Loser: -3.10%
Best: +2.86%
Worst: -3.10%
Trades: 4/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 80.0%
Avg Gain: +0.80%
Avg Winner: +1.97%
Avg Loser: -3.90%
Best: +3.26%
Worst: -3.90%
Trades: 4/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 80.0%
Avg Gain: +0.95%
Avg Winner: +2.45%
Avg Loser: -5.04%
Best: +4.15%
Worst: -5.04%
Trades: 4/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 80.0%
Avg Gain: +1.46%
Avg Winner: +2.59%
Avg Loser: -3.06%
Best: +4.27%
Worst: -3.06%
Trades: 4/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 80.0%
Avg Gain: +0.89%
Avg Winner: +2.39%
Avg Loser: -5.12%
Best: +4.35%
Worst: -5.12%
Trades: 4/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.19%
Best MFE: +5.29%
Avg Time to MFE: 89 min

On average, AESI alerts reach +3.19% profit potential within 89 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: +0.60%
Worst MAE: -1.57%
Avg Time to MAE: 19 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.60%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

5.32:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 5.32x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, AESI typically reaches +3.19% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 5
Gap Up % 80.0%
Avg Gap +1.39%
Best Gap +3.46%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

How AESI compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AESI: +1.04% Sector: -0.16% +1.20%
EOD Gain
AESI: +0.89% Sector: +59.69% -58.81%
Avg MFE
AESI: +3.19% Sector: +2.88% +0.30%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AESI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-31 09:29:25 $24.2 -3.10% -3.90% -5.04% -3.06% -5.12% -0.25% -1.57% -0.25% LOSS
2024-06-12 09:27:04 $21.08 +2.86% +1.49% +3.39% +4.27% +2.32% +4.44% +1.28% +2.47% WIN
2024-06-10 09:25:28 $21.23 +1.39% +2.54% +1.34% +1.22% +0.09% +2.59% +0.61% +0.61% WIN
2024-03-12 09:28:41 $20.24 +2.83% +3.26% +4.15% +3.88% +4.35% +5.29% +2.67% +3.46% WIN
2024-03-11 09:27:10 $20.4 +1.23% +0.58% +0.93% +0.98% +2.79% +3.87% - +0.64% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 80.0% Baseline on AESI

The 80.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AESI's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AESI Strategy →

Why Analyze AESI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AESI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AESI historically offers an average upside of +3.19% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AESI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 80.0%, AESI shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AESI performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.04%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.