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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$AFRM

Trade-Ideas alerts 50.0% at EOD n=622 2022-01-03 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

Affirm Holdings, Inc. Class A Common Stock PERSONAL CREDIT INSTITUTIONS (SIC 6141)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jan 13, 2021 🔗 www.affirm.com
💰 Market Cap: $23.88B 👥 Employees: 2,358
Founded in 2012, Affirm is a market leader in the buy now, pay later space with around $36 billion in transaction volume in fiscal 2025. Affirm offers both zero-interest financing, which is merchant-subsidized, and interest-bearing loans, which function as personal loans that are approved on a per-transaction basis. Over 70% of Affirm's transaction volume comes from its interest-bearing loans, which also constitute the majority of its revenue. Affirm primarily operates in the United States, which accounted for more than 95% of its revenue in 2025, but it has also expanded to Canada and the United Kingdom.
Total alerts
622
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
50.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
+0.14%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+4.31%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading AFRM on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

Playable AFRM setups

Historical AFRM setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 48.9%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +1.26%
Avg Loser: -1.00%
Best: +9.10%
Worst: -4.16%
Trades: 303/314

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.5%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +2.11%
Avg Loser: -1.81%
Best: +15.92%
Worst: -8.28%
Trades: 288/330

30MIN

Win Rate: 46.3%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +2.58%
Avg Loser: -2.22%
Best: +13.88%
Worst: -11.65%
Trades: 287/331

60MIN

Win Rate: 46.9%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +3.22%
Avg Loser: -2.77%
Best: +22.63%
Worst: -10.59%
Trades: 291/328

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.14%
Avg Winner: +4.48%
Avg Loser: -4.21%
Best: +27.58%
Worst: -22.28%
Trades: 311/310

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.31%
Best MFE: +36.99%
Avg Time to MFE: 124 min

On average, AFRM alerts reach +4.31% profit potential within 124 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.50%
Worst MAE: -11.60%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.50%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.87:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.87x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 622 alerts, AFRM typically reaches +4.31% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 622
Gap Up % 40.8%
Avg Gap -0.06%
Best Gap +2.32%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PERSONAL CREDIT INSTITUTIONS

How AFRM compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AFRM: +0.11% Sector: +0.12% -0.01%
EOD Gain
AFRM: +0.13% Sector: +0.10% +0.04%
Avg MFE
AFRM: +4.31% Sector: +4.28% +0.04%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AFRM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $72.04 +0.34% -0.33% -0.81% +0.36% -1.76% +0.78% -0.08% -0.06% WIN
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $69.72 -0.80% -0.66% -0.85% -2.27% +1.02% +1.09% -3.69% -0.49% LOSS
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $72.95 -0.05% -1.42% -1.67% -1.81% -1.62% +0.58% -0.41% +0.45% LOSS
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $72.5 +0.68% -1.66% -2.97% -2.76% -2.00% +0.91% -0.33% -0.14% WIN
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $70.64 +0.01% -1.08% -0.76% -0.58% +0.81% +0.95% -1.46% +0.04% WIN
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $74.46 -0.57% -1.95% -3.29% -2.81% -5.61% +0.70% +0.70% -0.59% LOSS
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $72.9 +0.14% +0.93% +0.36% -1.02% +0.66% +1.51% -1.77% -0.92% WIN
2026-08-31 09:25:00 $75.56 +1.11% -5.40% -3.35% -1.53% -1.47% +2.24% +1.58% +0.32% WIN
2026-08-28 09:25:00 $87.02 +1.74% -0.29% -1.79% -2.90% -10.64% +3.93% -2.03% -1.17% WIN
2026-08-18 09:25:00 $71.88 +0.58% +4.00% +3.83% +5.41% +2.34% +5.54% -0.65% +0.00% WIN
2026-06-25 09:25:00 $78.13 +0.58% +0.10% -2.50% +0.70% -1.64% +1.37% -2.71% +0.00% WIN
2026-06-23 09:25:00 $70.56 +0.45% +0.89% +1.40% +1.84% +1.80% +2.51% -1.35% -0.85% WIN
2026-06-18 09:25:00 $72.0 +2.38% +0.26% +1.25% +2.88% +2.67% +3.82% -0.28% -0.12% WIN
2026-05-27 09:25:00 $70.2 +1.29% +0.31% -0.44% +0.76% +0.34% +2.28% -0.67% -0.28% WIN
2026-05-26 09:25:00 $66.09 +1.26% -0.53% +0.91% +3.13% +4.81% +5.63% -1.17% -0.17% WIN
2026-05-12 09:25:00 $66.25 +0.35% +2.66% +1.56% +2.08% -1.24% +3.43% -1.13% -0.60% WIN
2026-05-08 09:25:00 $68.9 -1.04% -0.10% -1.65% -1.96% -7.10% +3.47% -2.70% -0.78% LOSS
2026-05-06 09:25:00 $68.64 -1.57% -2.28% -2.30% -1.94% -4.46% -0.26% -1.78% -1.24% LOSS
2026-04-17 09:25:00 $63.99 -1.45% -2.15% -1.14% +1.81% +0.80% +3.14% -2.59% -0.20% LOSS
2026-04-16 09:25:00 $60.63 +0.51% -0.69% -2.80% -2.69% -0.58% +1.78% -0.94% -0.31% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 50.0% Baseline on AFRM

The 50.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push AFRM's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AFRM Strategy →

Why Analyze AFRM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AFRM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AFRM historically offers an average upside of +4.31% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AFRM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, AFRM shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AFRM performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.14%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.