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AGCO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-11-25 → 2022-11-25

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Apr 16, 1992 🔗 www.agcocorp.com
💰 Market Cap: $8.49B 👥 Employees: 24,000
Agco is a global manufacturer of agricultural equipment. Its main machine brands are Fendt, Massey Ferguson, and Valtra; its initiatives in precision agriculture have been organized under the PTx umbrella following a series of acquisitions. While a global business, Agco's sales skew heavily toward Europe/Middle East, representing 50%-60% of sales and even more of operating profits. The company is trying to increase its exposure to the larger North and South American markets. Its products are available through a global dealer network, which includes over 3,000 dealer and distribution locations and reach into over 140 countries. Additionally, Agco offers retail and wholesale financing to customers through its unconsolidated joint venture with Rabobank of the Netherlands.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.02%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+1.79%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.67%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.67%
Best: -0.67%
Worst: -0.67%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.02%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.02%
Worst: +0.02%
Trades: 1/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.57%
Avg Winner: +0.57%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.57%
Worst: +0.57%
Trades: 1/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.65%
Avg Winner: +1.65%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.65%
Worst: +1.65%
Trades: 1/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.79%
Best MFE: +1.79%
Avg Time to MFE: 187 min

On average, AGCO alerts reach +1.79% profit potential within 187 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.79%
Worst MAE: -0.79%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.79%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.27:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.27x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, AGCO typically reaches +1.79% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.22%
Best Gap -0.22%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FARM MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT

How AGCO compares to 2 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AGCO: +0.00% Sector: -0.47% +0.47%
EOD Gain
AGCO: +0.00% Sector: -0.30% +0.30%
Avg MFE
AGCO: +0.00% Sector: +3.39% -3.39%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AGCO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-11-25 09:25:00 $130.66 -0.67% - +0.02% +0.57% +1.65% +1.79% -0.79% -0.22% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on AGCO

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AGCO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AGCO Strategy →

Why Analyze AGCO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AGCO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AGCO historically offers an average upside of +1.79% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AGCO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, AGCO shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AGCO performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.02%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.