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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$AGCO

Trade-Ideas alerts 50.0% at 30-min n=2 2022-11-25 → 2026-07-30

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 2 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Apr 16, 1992 🔗 www.agcocorp.com
💰 Market Cap: $8.03B 👥 Employees: 22,000
Agco is a global manufacturer of agricultural equipment. Its main machine brands are Fendt, Massey Ferguson, and Valtra; its initiatives in precision agriculture have been organized under the PTx umbrella following a series of acquisitions. While a global business, Agco's sales skew heavily toward Europe/Middle East, representing 50%-60% of sales and even more of operating profits. The company is trying to increase its exposure to the larger North and South American markets. Its products are available through a global dealer network, which includes over 3,000 dealers and distribution locations and reaches into over 140 countries. Additionally, Agco offers retail and wholesale financing to customers through its partnership with Rabobank of the Netherlands, having exited their JV in 2026.
Total alerts
2
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 30MIN
50.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 30MIN
-0.73%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.33%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading AGCO on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.70%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.70%
Best: -0.67%
Worst: -2.73%
Trades: 0/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.60%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.60%
Best: -2.60%
Worst: -2.60%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.73%
Avg Winner: +0.02%
Avg Loser: -1.49%
Best: +0.02%
Worst: -1.49%
Trades: 1/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.69%
Avg Winner: +0.57%
Avg Loser: -1.95%
Best: +0.57%
Worst: -1.95%
Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.48%
Avg Winner: +1.65%
Avg Loser: -2.61%
Best: +1.65%
Worst: -2.61%
Trades: 1/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.33%
Best MFE: +1.79%
Avg Time to MFE: 96 min

On average, AGCO alerts reach +1.33% profit potential within 96 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.76%
Worst MAE: -2.73%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.76%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.76:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, AGCO typically reaches +1.33% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.11%
Best Gap +0.00%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FARM MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT

How AGCO compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AGCO: -2.73% Sector: -0.40% -2.32%
EOD Gain
AGCO: -2.61% Sector: +0.22% -2.83%
Avg MFE
AGCO: +0.86% Sector: +3.82% -2.96%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AGCO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-07-30 09:25:00 $110.0 -2.73% -2.60% -1.49% -1.95% -2.61% +0.86% -2.73% +0.00% LOSS
2022-11-25 09:25:00 $130.66 -0.67% - +0.02% +0.57% +1.65% +1.79% -0.79% -0.22% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ AGCO Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.73% average gain, AGCO alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider AGCO for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze AGCO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AGCO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AGCO historically offers an average upside of +1.33% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AGCO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, AGCO shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests AGCO may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: AGCO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.73%). This suggests AGCO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.