Latest signal:
AGL Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 9 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-08-12 → 2024-11-08
⚠️ Small sample size (9 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, AGL alerts reach +3.26% profit potential within 53 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.18%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 9 alerts, AGL typically reaches +3.26% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.6% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-MISC HEALTH & ALLIED SERVICES, NEC
How AGL compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical AGL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | 09:28:27 | $1.85 | +2.16% | +5.14% | +5.68% | +3.24% | -0.54% | +9.19% | -2.70% | +0.54% | WIN |
| 2024-11-06 | 09:26:50 | $3.03 | -2.31% | -2.29% | -3.80% | -2.81% | -4.95% | +4.29% | +0.66% | +0.66% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-24 | 09:28:29 | $5.35 | +1.03% | -1.50% | -2.15% | -2.15% | -0.37% | +4.11% | +1.31% | +2.43% | WIN |
| 2024-04-16 | 09:27:07 | $4.8 | -3.33% | -5.52% | -7.08% | -2.19% | -6.67% | -0.21% | -7.08% | -4.17% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-28 | 09:25:39 | $5.72 | +2.45% | +0.52% | +0.96% | +1.40% | +6.64% | +7.69% | -1.22% | +0.17% | WIN |
| 2023-11-03 | 09:28:00 | $14.5 | -0.69% | -4.41% | -10.24% | -15.28% | +1.10% | +4.41% | -0.69% | -0.28% | LOSS |
| 2023-06-07 | 09:27:00 | $22.3 | -6.47% | -5.68% | -5.56% | -6.73% | -7.94% | -5.16% | -6.59% | -6.28% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-16 | 09:29:00 | $22.6 | +2.39% | +0.75% | +3.03% | +4.25% | +1.81% | +5.22% | -0.35% | +0.04% | WIN |
| 2022-08-12 | 09:25:00 | $23.8 | -1.60% | -3.49% | -3.66% | -3.32% | -1.72% | -0.25% | -2.94% | -2.31% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ AGL Shows Negative Expectancy
With 44.4% win rate and -0.71% average gain, AGL alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider AGL for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze AGL with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AGL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, AGL historically offers an average upside of +3.26% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 AGL Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 44.4%, AGL shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests AGL may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: AGL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.71%). This suggests AGL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.