Latest signal: February 28, 2023

AHCO Stock Analysis

Name: AHCO Trading Alert Analysis
Creator: FILTRIX

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-08-02 → 2023-02-28

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

AdaptHealth Corp. Common Stock SERVICES-HOME HEALTH CARE SERVICES (SIC 8082)

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Apr 16, 2018 🔗 www.adapthealth.com

💰 Market Cap: $1.37B 👥 Employees: 10,500

AdaptHealth Corp is engaged in providing patient-centered, healthcare-at-home solutions including home medical equipment (HME), medical supplies, and related services. It focuses on providing; sleep therapy equipment, supplies, and related services (including CPAP and bi-PAP services) to individuals suffering from obstructive sleep apnea (OSA), medical devices and supplies to patients for the treatment of diabetes (including continuous glucose monitors (CGM and insulin pumps), home medical equipment to patients discharged from acute care and other facilities, oxygen and related chronic therapy services in the home, and other HME devices and supplies on behalf of chronically ill patients with wound care, urological, incontinence, ostomy and nutritional supply needs.

📊

Total Alerts

🎯

100.0%

Win Rate (5MIN)

💰

+0.69%

Avg Gain (5MIN)

🚀

+2.14%

Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%

Avg Gain: +0.69%

Avg Winner: +0.69%

Avg Loser: +0.00%

Best: +0.81%

Worst: +0.57%

Trades: 2/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%

Avg Gain: -0.94%

Avg Winner: +0.00%

Avg Loser: -0.94%

Best: -0.69%

Worst: -1.20%

Trades: 0/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%

Avg Gain: -0.46%

Avg Winner: +0.00%

Avg Loser: -0.46%

Best: -0.46%

Worst: -0.46%

Trades: 0/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%

Avg Gain: -2.11%

Avg Winner: +0.96%

Avg Loser: -5.17%

Best: +0.96%

Worst: -5.17%

Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%

Avg Gain: -3.74%

Avg Winner: +0.62%

Avg Loser: -8.10%

Best: +0.62%

Worst: -8.10%

Trades: 1/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.14%

Best MFE: +2.59%

Avg Time to MFE: 114 min

On average, AHCO alerts reach +2.14% profit potential within 114 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.02%

Worst MAE: -1.88%

Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.02%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.09:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.09x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, AHCO typically reaches +2.14% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2

Gap Up % 100.0%

Avg Gap +0.50%

Best Gap +0.57%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-HOME HEALTH CARE SERVICES

How AHCO compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain

AHCO: +0.69% Sector: +0.49% +0.21%

EOD Gain

AHCO: -3.74% Sector: +0.70% -4.44%

Avg MFE

AHCO: +2.14% Sector: +3.81% -1.67%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AHCO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date	Time	Price	5min	15min	30min	60min	EOD	MFE	MAE	Gap	Result
2023-02-28	09:25:00	$17.4	+0.57%	-0.69%	-0.46%	-5.17%	-8.10%	+2.59%	-0.17%	+0.57%	WIN
2022-08-02	09:25:00	$24.0	+0.81%	-1.20%	-0.46%	+0.96%	+0.62%	+1.69%	-1.88%	+0.42%	WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on AHCO

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AHCO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AHCO Strategy →

Why Analyze AHCO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AHCO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AHCO historically offers an average upside of +2.14% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AHCO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, AHCO shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AHCO performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.69%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.