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AI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 364 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-24 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Dec 09, 2020 🔗 www.c3.ai
💰 Market Cap: $1.79B 👥 Employees: 1,181
C3.ai Inc is an enterprise artificial intelligence company. The company provides software-as-a-service applications that enable customers to rapidly develop, deploy, and operate large-scale Enterprise AI applications across any infrastructure. It provides solutions under three divisions namely, The C3 AI Platform, which is an end-to-end application development and runtime environment for designing, developing, and deploying AI applications: C3 AI Applications, which is a portfolio of pre-built, extensible, industry-specific, and application-specific Enterprise AI applications: and C3 Generative AI, which combines the utility of large language models. Geographically the company derives revenue from North America, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, Asia Pacific, and the Rest of the World.
📊
364
Total Alerts
🎯
47.5%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.34%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+4.16%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 43.9%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +1.17%
Avg Loser: -1.07%
Best: +5.72%
Worst: -4.04%
Trades: 159/196

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.1%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +1.87%
Avg Loser: -1.74%
Best: +8.95%
Worst: -8.35%
Trades: 167/192

30MIN

Win Rate: 46.7%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +2.43%
Avg Loser: -2.07%
Best: +13.21%
Worst: -11.47%
Trades: 169/190

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.3%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +3.19%
Avg Loser: -2.46%
Best: +18.08%
Worst: -13.64%
Trades: 164/196

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 47.5%
Avg Gain: +0.34%
Avg Winner: +4.49%
Avg Loser: -3.41%
Best: +21.22%
Worst: -21.79%
Trades: 173/191

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.16%
Best MFE: +33.40%
Avg Time to MFE: 123 min

On average, AI alerts reach +4.16% profit potential within 123 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.52%
Worst MAE: -7.70%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.52%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.73:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.73x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 364 alerts, AI typically reaches +4.16% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 364
Gap Up % 41.8%
Avg Gap -0.04%
Best Gap +3.30%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How AI compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AI: -0.06% Sector: -0.09% +0.03%
EOD Gain
AI: +0.34% Sector: +73.64% -73.29%
Avg MFE
AI: +4.17% Sector: +4.32% -0.16%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:28:13 $32.85 -0.26% -1.52% -1.67% -1.95% -3.93% +0.37% -0.46% -0.06% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:27:15 $32.8 -0.34% -0.59% -1.01% -0.98% +0.34% +0.91% -1.49% - LOSS
2025-02-12 09:27:22 $31.55 +0.73% +0.60% +1.51% +1.90% +3.01% +3.88% -0.43% - WIN
2025-02-06 09:28:37 $34.57 -0.55% -0.87% -1.68% -0.29% -2.66% +0.81% -0.26% +0.64% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:27:53 $31.9 +3.18% +4.12% +3.50% +3.45% +5.86% +5.99% - +0.31% WIN
2025-02-03 09:29:16 $29.66 +0.51% +0.51% +1.45% +2.87% +5.23% +6.14% -0.88% -0.54% WIN
2025-01-27 09:27:34 $30.92 -1.07% +0.31% +1.82% +3.17% +0.71% +4.30% -1.36% +0.52% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:25:07 $34.3 +0.83% -0.32% -0.17% -0.16% -4.34% +1.46% -1.25% +0.32% WIN
2025-01-23 09:25:45 $33.33 -0.71% -0.68% -1.34% -0.99% +2.13% +2.34% -2.10% -0.57% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:27:32 $35.24 -0.99% -2.21% -2.19% +0.40% -4.57% +1.16% -0.37% +0.11% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:28:56 $31.84 +2.95% +1.73% +2.14% +2.28% -0.35% +3.64% +0.44% +1.41% WIN
2025-01-14 09:26:47 $31.6 +0.32% +1.08% -1.46% -1.61% -2.22% +1.87% -0.63% +0.13% WIN
2025-01-10 09:26:20 $32.38 +0.52% -1.08% -1.09% -1.88% +0.12% +2.25% -0.22% +0.59% WIN
2025-01-08 09:27:08 $34.76 +0.49% +0.03% -1.84% -2.99% -4.20% +1.12% -0.71% -0.14% WIN
2025-01-06 09:27:44 $37.89 +0.69% +0.61% +0.11% -0.37% -2.53% +1.82% -1.74% +0.24% WIN
2024-12-30 09:29:15 $35.08 -1.30% -1.48% -2.25% -2.66% +0.60% +1.70% -3.34% +0.29% LOSS
2024-12-27 09:25:12 $37.05 +0.57% -1.51% -1.93% -4.62% -3.56% +0.86% -0.30% +0.14% WIN
2024-12-23 09:25:24 $36.45 +0.38% -1.56% -0.76% -1.37% -2.72% +1.23% -0.16% +0.08% WIN
2024-12-20 09:27:02 $35.12 -1.28% -1.77% -1.42% +1.12% +3.47% +5.04% -2.82% -0.31% LOSS
2024-12-19 09:29:56 $38.5 +2.18% -2.55% -3.78% -7.26% -7.92% +2.96% +0.29% +0.94% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 47.5% Baseline on AI

The 47.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AI's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AI Strategy →

Why Analyze AI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AI historically offers an average upside of +4.16% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 47.5%, AI shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AI performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.34%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.