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AIT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-02-21 → 2023-02-22

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. WHOLESALE-MACHINERY, EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES (SIC 5080)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 01, 1972 🔗 www.applied.com
💰 Market Cap: $10.57B 👥 Employees: 6,794
Applied Industrial Technologies Inc is a distributor of industrial products to the maintenance, repair, and operations market and the original equipment manufacturing industry. Further, the company provides engineering and design services for industrial and fluid power applications. The products include bearings, power transmission components, fluid power components and systems, industrial rubber products, linear motion components, safety products, oilfield supplies, and other industrial and maintenance supplies. The company's reportable segments are; Service Center Based Distribution which derives key revenue, and Engineered Solutions. Geographically, the company derives its key revenue from the United States and the rest from Canada and other countries.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.43%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+0.39%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.43%
Avg Winner: +0.06%
Avg Loser: -0.92%
Best: +0.06%
Worst: -0.92%
Trades: 1/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.76%
Avg Loser: -0.70%
Best: +0.76%
Worst: -0.70%
Trades: 1/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +0.80%
Avg Loser: -1.36%
Best: +0.80%
Worst: -1.36%
Trades: 1/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -1.08%
Avg Winner: +0.15%
Avg Loser: -2.30%
Best: +0.15%
Worst: -2.30%
Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.72%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.72%
Best: -0.51%
Worst: -2.94%
Trades: 0/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.39%
Best MFE: +1.12%
Avg Time to MFE: 11 min

On average, AIT alerts reach +0.39% profit potential within 11 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.70%
Worst MAE: -1.33%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.70%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.55:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, AIT typically reaches +0.39% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.70%
Best Gap -0.07%

🏭 Sector Comparison: WHOLESALE-MACHINERY, EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES

How AIT compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AIT: -0.43% Sector: -0.43% +0.01%
EOD Gain
AIT: -1.72% Sector: -0.63% -1.10%
Avg MFE
AIT: +0.39% Sector: +6.65% -6.26%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AIT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-02-22 09:26:00 $140.34 +0.06% +0.76% +0.80% +0.15% -0.51% +1.12% -0.07% -0.07% WIN
2023-02-21 09:26:00 $144.59 -0.92% -0.70% -1.36% -2.30% -2.94% -0.34% -1.33% -1.33% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ AIT Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.43% average gain, AIT alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider AIT for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze AIT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AIT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AIT historically offers an average upside of +0.39% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AIT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, AIT shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests AIT may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: AIT shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.43%). This suggests AIT is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.