Latest signal:
AJG Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-08 → 2024-12-10
⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, AJG alerts reach +0.86% profit potential within 214 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.06%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, AJG typically reaches +0.86% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: INSURANCE AGENTS, BROKERS & SERVICE
How AJG compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical AJG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-10 | 09:25:17 | $283.42 | +0.08% | -0.02% | +0.20% | +0.53% | +0.11% | +1.76% | -0.29% | +0.12% | WIN |
| 2023-12-28 | 09:25:00 | $223.01 | +0.06% | +0.45% | +0.43% | +0.33% | +0.20% | +0.64% | +0.06% | +0.36% | WIN |
| 2023-03-23 | 09:29:00 | $182.0 | -1.12% | -1.02% | -0.51% | -0.24% | +1.34% | +1.59% | -1.12% | -0.96% | LOSS |
| 2022-04-25 | 09:25:00 | $179.17 | -1.47% | -1.50% | -1.97% | -2.42% | -0.16% | +0.07% | -2.86% | -0.99% | LOSS |
| 2022-02-11 | 09:25:00 | $159.27 | -0.02% | -0.09% | +0.21% | -0.05% | -2.27% | +0.43% | -0.46% | -0.13% | LOSS |
| 2022-02-08 | 09:25:00 | $156.36 | -0.10% | -0.74% | -1.69% | -1.30% | +0.45% | +0.68% | -1.72% | -0.22% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ AJG Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 66.7% win rate, AJG has -0.05% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making AJG profitable.
🔧 Fix AJG Risk/Reward →Why Analyze AJG with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AJG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, AJG historically offers an average upside of +0.86% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 AJG Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, AJG shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.21%) outweigh average wins (+0.53%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: AJG shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.05%). This suggests AJG is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.