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ALEC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-10-27 → 2024-11-26

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Feb 07, 2019 🔗 www.alector.com
💰 Market Cap: $211.8M 👥 Employees: 156
Alector Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company. It is engaged in developing a novel therapeutic approach for the treatment of neurodegeneration. The firm is involved in developing therapies that are designed to simultaneously counteract pathologies by restoring healthy immune function to the brain. Its pipeline products include AL001, AL002, AL003, and AL101.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.32%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+3.21%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.15%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -3.15%
Best: -0.58%
Worst: -5.26%
Trades: 0/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.63%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.63%
Best: -1.45%
Worst: -5.26%
Trades: 0/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.27%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.27%
Best: -1.13%
Worst: -4.14%
Trades: 0/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.73%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -3.64%
Best: +0.00%
Worst: -7.52%
Trades: 0/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.32%
Avg Winner: +4.11%
Avg Loser: -3.48%
Best: +5.00%
Worst: -3.57%
Trades: 2/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.21%
Best MFE: +5.58%
Avg Time to MFE: 170 min

On average, ALEC alerts reach +3.21% profit potential within 170 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -4.56%
Worst MAE: -10.90%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.56%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.7:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, ALEC typically reaches +3.21% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 25.0%
Avg Gap -0.73%
Best Gap +0.19%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How ALEC compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ALEC: -3.15% Sector: -0.41% -2.73%
EOD Gain
ALEC: +0.32% Sector: +1233.50% -1233.18%
Avg MFE
ALEC: +3.21% Sector: +6.69% -3.48%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ALEC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-26 09:27:29 $2.66 -5.26% -2.07% -1.32% -7.52% -3.38% +1.88% -10.90% -2.63% LOSS
2024-02-07 09:26:11 $6.2 -3.55% -1.45% -1.13% - +3.23% +5.00% -4.84% -0.48% LOSS
2023-11-01 09:27:00 $5.2 -0.58% -1.73% -2.50% -0.38% +5.00% +5.58% -2.50% +0.19% LOSS
2023-10-27 09:29:00 $5.32 -3.20% -5.26% -4.14% -3.01% -3.57% +0.38% - - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.0% Baseline on ALEC

The 50.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ALEC's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ALEC Strategy →

Why Analyze ALEC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ALEC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ALEC historically offers an average upside of +3.21% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ALEC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, ALEC shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ALEC performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.32%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.