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ALF Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 8 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-20 → 2022-10-24
⚠️ Small sample size (8 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, ALF alerts reach +23.45% profit potential within 50 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 5.69%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.12x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 8 alerts, ALF typically reaches +23.45% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 18.8% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: BLANK CHECKS
How ALF compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical ALF alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-24 | 09:25:00 | $0.25 | - | -1.19% | -5.14% | -19.13% | -56.09% | +4.98% | -1.66% | -1.19% | - |
| 2022-10-21 | 09:25:00 | $0.27 | +0.11% | -1.56% | +11.23% | +11.61% | -9.83% | +40.53% | -3.60% | -3.60% | WIN |
| 2022-10-18 | 09:25:00 | $0.29 | -6.79% | -6.21% | +17.24% | +4.21% | -3.45% | +20.69% | -7.24% | +1.03% | LOSS |
| 2022-10-17 | 09:25:00 | $0.23 | -17.39% | +1.26% | - | +3.04% | +21.74% | +107.83% | -17.39% | -12.52% | LOSS |
| 2022-03-22 | 09:25:00 | $2.05 | -4.88% | -4.39% | -7.80% | -5.19% | -2.44% | +1.95% | -0.98% | -2.44% | LOSS |
| 2022-03-01 | 09:25:00 | $2.22 | -1.80% | -4.50% | -10.36% | -7.21% | -6.76% | - | -1.35% | -1.35% | LOSS |
| 2022-02-28 | 09:25:00 | $2.36 | -1.27% | -3.81% | -3.39% | -9.53% | +1.69% | +10.17% | -12.29% | +1.27% | LOSS |
| 2022-01-20 | 09:25:00 | $2.01 | -1.94% | -3.98% | -3.98% | -3.99% | -10.45% | +1.49% | -0.99% | +0.47% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ ALF Shows Negative Expectancy
With 37.5% win rate and -3.27% average gain, ALF alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider ALF for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze ALF with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ALF. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, ALF historically offers an average upside of +23.45% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 ALF Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 37.5%, ALF shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests ALF may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: ALF shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -3.27%). This suggests ALF is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.