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ALLO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 8 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-04 → 2025-02-14

⚠️ Small sample size (8 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Allogene Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES) (SIC 2836)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 11, 2018 🔗 www.allogene.com
💰 Market Cap: $386.5M 👥 Employees: 361
Allogene Therapeutics Inc is a clinical-stage biotech firm specializing in immuno-oncology, focusing on the development of genetically engineered allogeneic T-cell products for cancer and autoimmune diseases. Their pipeline includes off-the-shelf T-cell candidates designed to target cancer cells or autoreactive cells in autoimmune disorders. Notably, their allogeneic approach, derived from healthy donors, allows for broader patient eligibility and scalability. With a vision to redefine CAR T therapy, the company concentrates on core programs targeting lymphoma, leukemia, autoimmune diseases, and solid tumors. Revenue, generated from collaborations and licensing agreements, supports their research and development efforts.
📊
8
Total Alerts
🎯
37.5%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.55%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+6.56%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: +0.55%
Avg Winner: +4.08%
Avg Loser: -1.56%
Best: +8.15%
Worst: -3.47%
Trades: 3/5

15MIN

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: -0.29%
Avg Winner: +5.67%
Avg Loser: -3.86%
Best: +11.67%
Worst: -8.96%
Trades: 3/5

30MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.98%
Avg Winner: +8.96%
Avg Loser: -4.29%
Best: +14.84%
Worst: -14.04%
Trades: 2/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 12.5%
Avg Gain: -1.39%
Avg Winner: +18.06%
Avg Loser: -4.17%
Best: +18.06%
Worst: -15.12%
Trades: 1/7

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +15.98%
Avg Loser: -5.45%
Best: +31.61%
Worst: -12.17%
Trades: 2/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.56%
Best MFE: +35.81%
Avg Time to MFE: 41 min

On average, ALLO alerts reach +6.56% profit potential within 41 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.42%
Worst MAE: -5.90%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.42%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.71:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.71x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 8 alerts, ALLO typically reaches +6.56% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 8
Gap Up % 25.0%
Avg Gap -0.75%
Best Gap +0.35%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How ALLO compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ALLO: +0.55% Sector: -0.41% +0.97%
EOD Gain
ALLO: -0.10% Sector: +1233.50% -1233.60%
Avg MFE
ALLO: +6.56% Sector: +6.69% -0.13%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ALLO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:29:11 $1.55 +8.15% +11.67% +14.84% +18.06% +31.61% +35.81% -0.97% -0.97% WIN
2024-11-26 09:26:52 $2.6 +3.08% +4.96% +3.08% -1.15% -3.08% +6.54% -4.23% -3.46% WIN
2024-05-21 09:27:09 $2.88 -3.47% -3.16% -2.78% -2.60% -6.60% +1.39% -5.90% +0.35% LOSS
2023-11-01 09:25:00 $2.82 -0.71% -2.31% -0.71% -0.18% +0.35% +1.24% -2.48% -0.71% LOSS
2023-07-25 09:29:00 $5.14 -0.58% -3.31% -2.63% -2.24% -2.33% - -1.56% -0.58% LOSS
2022-07-15 09:25:00 $13.25 +1.02% +0.38% -3.62% -4.38% -3.32% +6.11% -2.26% +0.23% WIN
2022-01-10 09:25:00 $13.89 -2.74% -8.96% -14.04% -15.12% -12.17% +0.72% +0.58% -0.58% LOSS
2022-01-04 09:25:00 $15.29 -0.33% -1.57% -1.96% -3.53% -5.23% +0.65% -2.55% -0.26% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 37.5% Baseline on ALLO

The 37.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ALLO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ALLO Strategy →

Why Analyze ALLO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ALLO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ALLO historically offers an average upside of +6.56% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ALLO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 37.5%, ALLO shows choppy price action, requiring strict filters or quick profit-taking.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ALLO performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.55%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.