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Latest signal:

ALLY Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 35 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-12 → 2025-02-11

⚠️ Small sample size (35 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Ally Financial Inc. STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS (SIC 6022)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Dec 13, 2013 🔗 www.ally.com
💰 Market Cap: $12.68B 👥 Employees: 10,700
Formerly the captive financial arm of General Motors, Ally Financial became an independent publicly traded firm in 2014 and is one of the largest consumer auto lenders in the country. While the firm has expanded its product offerings over time, it remains primarily focused on auto lending, with more than 70% of its loan book in consumer auto loans and dealer financing. Ally also offers auto insurance, commercial loans, credit cards, and holds a portfolio of mortgage debt, giving the bank a diversified business model, which includes brokerage services.
📊
35
Total Alerts
🎯
45.7%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.05%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+2.32%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.27%
Avg Winner: +1.17%
Avg Loser: -1.23%
Best: +4.39%
Worst: -3.91%
Trades: 14/21

15MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.41%
Avg Winner: +1.69%
Avg Loser: -1.81%
Best: +4.34%
Worst: -7.57%
Trades: 14/21

30MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.63%
Avg Winner: +1.33%
Avg Loser: -2.10%
Best: +4.91%
Worst: -7.55%
Trades: 15/20

60MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.37%
Avg Winner: +2.03%
Avg Loser: -2.18%
Best: +8.02%
Worst: -8.42%
Trades: 15/20

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 45.7%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +2.73%
Avg Loser: -2.20%
Best: +10.05%
Worst: -7.97%
Trades: 16/19

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.32%
Best MFE: +11.58%
Avg Time to MFE: 104 min

On average, ALLY alerts reach +2.32% profit potential within 104 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.33%
Worst MAE: -5.74%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.33%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.74:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 35 alerts, ALLY typically reaches +2.32% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 35
Gap Up % 45.7%
Avg Gap -0.17%
Best Gap +1.63%

🏭 Sector Comparison: STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS

How ALLY compares to 29 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ALLY: -0.27% Sector: -0.03% -0.24%
EOD Gain
ALLY: +0.05% Sector: -0.04% +0.09%
Avg MFE
ALLY: +2.32% Sector: +1.25% +1.07%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ALLY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-11 09:29:11 $37.55 +0.45% +0.64% +0.64% +0.83% +1.20% +1.65% +0.13% +0.13% WIN
2025-02-10 09:29:06 $38.69 -1.01% -1.67% -1.43% -2.15% -2.30% - -0.96% -0.59% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:29:48 $38.71 -0.98% -1.73% -1.81% -1.38% -1.27% -0.43% -0.78% -0.72% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:28:39 $41.29 -1.16% -1.11% -1.48% -2.08% -3.97% +0.48% -2.40% +0.22% LOSS
2024-12-13 09:26:35 $37.96 -0.92% -1.23% -1.51% -1.66% -0.74% -0.16% -1.87% -1.05% LOSS
2024-12-05 09:26:44 $38.3 +0.50% +1.00% +1.44% +0.78% +0.18% +1.96% -0.34% +0.16% WIN
2024-12-04 09:27:03 $39.24 -0.18% -0.68% -0.28% -0.73% -1.02% -0.08% -0.83% -0.36% LOSS
2024-11-29 09:25:15 $39.9 -0.33% +0.18% +0.05% +0.24% +0.20% +0.73% -0.33% +0.03% LOSS
2024-10-18 09:26:14 $34.0 -1.35% +3.26% +1.94% +0.65% +2.97% +4.65% -3.35% -3.24% LOSS
2024-09-10 09:27:44 $35.5 -2.79% -4.89% -7.15% -6.90% -7.97% +1.41% -0.56% -0.25% LOSS
2024-04-22 09:29:55 $39.35 -1.07% -1.04% -1.07% -0.99% +0.99% +1.33% -1.40% -0.28% LOSS
2024-04-19 09:27:50 $39.09 -0.16% -0.04% +0.23% -0.74% -0.10% +0.63% -0.49% -0.31% LOSS
2024-03-26 09:28:54 $39.67 -0.35% -0.74% -0.25% -0.54% -1.24% -0.08% -0.48% -0.18% LOSS
2023-09-07 09:28:00 $27.8 -0.25% +0.14% -1.87% -1.94% -1.69% +0.25% -0.68% -0.40% LOSS
2023-07-28 09:29:00 $29.69 +0.10% -0.07% +0.25% +0.88% +0.88% +1.82% -0.74% +0.57% WIN
2023-06-20 09:26:00 $28.37 -0.95% -1.66% -1.43% -2.31% -2.01% -0.63% -1.23% -1.09% LOSS
2023-04-24 09:26:00 $26.18 +0.27% +0.34% -0.88% -1.33% -0.27% +0.50% -0.73% +0.11% WIN
2023-04-19 09:29:00 $26.95 -2.10% -1.74% +0.19% +2.67% +1.86% +3.41% -3.15% -0.22% LOSS
2023-03-21 09:27:00 $24.5 +1.63% +1.75% +1.88% +1.98% +3.27% +5.29% -0.16% - WIN
2023-03-15 09:27:00 $22.44 -2.54% -0.94% -3.54% -1.18% +4.86% +5.04% -3.81% -0.85% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 45.7% Baseline on ALLY

The 45.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ALLY's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ALLY Strategy →

Why Analyze ALLY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ALLY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ALLY historically offers an average upside of +2.32% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ALLY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 45.7%, ALLY shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ALLY performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.05%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.