Latest signal:
ALTO Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 9 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-24 → 2023-11-08
⚠️ Small sample size (9 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, ALTO alerts reach +5.12% profit potential within 133 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.75%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 9 alerts, ALTO typically reaches +5.12% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.1% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: INDUSTRIAL ORGANIC CHEMICALS
How ALTO compares to 16 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical ALTO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-08 | 09:25:00 | $1.92 | -1.02% | -1.22% | +2.60% | +0.52% | +8.33% | +8.85% | -5.21% | -0.52% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-07 | 09:27:00 | $2.29 | -1.75% | -6.66% | -13.14% | -9.56% | -15.72% | +4.80% | -6.99% | -4.37% | LOSS |
| 2023-06-29 | 09:29:00 | $2.8 | +0.89% | +1.43% | +3.21% | +2.86% | +2.86% | +5.00% | -0.54% | +0.36% | WIN |
| 2023-05-10 | 09:26:00 | $1.86 | +3.13% | +1.07% | +0.62% | +1.34% | +3.23% | +4.84% | -1.61% | +1.08% | WIN |
| 2023-05-09 | 09:27:00 | $1.57 | +0.64% | +4.46% | +0.32% | +0.32% | - | +6.37% | -1.91% | -0.64% | WIN |
| 2022-09-12 | 09:25:00 | $4.17 | -0.96% | -2.52% | -1.20% | -1.32% | +1.44% | +2.52% | -2.88% | - | LOSS |
| 2022-04-12 | 09:25:00 | $6.61 | +0.23% | +3.15% | +3.72% | +1.21% | +0.76% | +3.93% | -0.91% | -0.76% | WIN |
| 2022-03-11 | 09:25:00 | $6.52 | -3.07% | -9.59% | -10.61% | -11.35% | -5.98% | - | -1.53% | -0.17% | LOSS |
| 2022-01-24 | 09:25:00 | $4.72 | -3.18% | +1.27% | +4.04% | +3.81% | +9.53% | +9.75% | -3.22% | -1.91% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ ALTO Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 66.7% win rate, ALTO has -1.16% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making ALTO profitable.
🔧 Fix ALTO Risk/Reward →Why Analyze ALTO with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ALTO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, ALTO historically offers an average upside of +5.12% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 ALTO Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, ALTO shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-8.32%) outweigh average wins (+2.42%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: ALTO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -1.16%). This suggests ALTO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.