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AMC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 748 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

AMC ENTERTAINMENT HOLDINGS, INC. SERVICES-MOTION PICTURE THEATERS (SIC 7830)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Dec 18, 2013 🔗 www.amctheatres.com
💰 Market Cap: $800.2M 👥 Employees: 33,382
AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc is involved in the theatrical exhibition business. It owns, operates, or has interests in theatres located in the United States and Europe. It provides amenities such as plush, power recliners, MacGuffins full bars, AMC Dine-In Theatres, and premium presentation. The company has identified two reportable segments and reporting units for its theatrical exhibition operations, U.S. markets and International markets. It derives key revenue from the U.S.
📊
748
Total Alerts
🎯
60.8%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+256.63%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+4.11%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.8%
Avg Gain: -0.22%
Avg Winner: +1.04%
Avg Loser: -1.11%
Best: +8.09%
Worst: -10.09%
Trades: 304/429

15MIN

Win Rate: 40.8%
Avg Gain: -0.33%
Avg Winner: +1.74%
Avg Loser: -1.78%
Best: +9.58%
Worst: -22.01%
Trades: 304/436

30MIN

Win Rate: 41.8%
Avg Gain: -0.36%
Avg Winner: +2.08%
Avg Loser: -2.14%
Best: +8.52%
Worst: -18.19%
Trades: 312/429

60MIN

Win Rate: 41.6%
Avg Gain: -0.34%
Avg Winner: +2.55%
Avg Loser: -2.43%
Best: +35.14%
Worst: -20.88%
Trades: 310/430

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 60.8%
Avg Gain: +256.63%
Avg Winner: +424.24%
Avg Loser: -3.84%
Best: +1329.34%
Worst: -41.55%
Trades: 455/279

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.11%
Best MFE: +67.05%
Avg Time to MFE: 109 min

On average, AMC alerts reach +4.11% profit potential within 109 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.62%
Worst MAE: -16.75%
Avg Time to MAE: 14 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.62%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.54:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.54x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 748 alerts, AMC typically reaches +4.11% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 747
Gap Up % 30.4%
Avg Gap -0.13%
Best Gap +4.57%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-MOTION PICTURE THEATERS

How AMC compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AMC: -0.22% Sector: -0.19% -0.03%
EOD Gain
AMC: +257.68% Sector: +251.30% +6.38%
Avg MFE
AMC: +4.12% Sector: +4.12% +0.00%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AMC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:25:57 $3.48 +3.59% +3.30% +2.73% +1.73% +2.01% +4.59% - +0.29% WIN
2025-02-13 09:29:52 $3.52 -2.13% -0.57% -0.57% -1.28% -1.14% +0.57% -1.99% -0.28% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:26:56 $3.33 +0.75% +1.80% +1.87% +0.96% +5.11% +6.61% -0.43% - WIN
2025-02-11 09:26:02 $3.16 +1.59% +1.30% +3.96% +5.54% +4.75% +9.18% -0.31% +0.32% WIN
2025-02-10 09:29:35 $3.13 +0.16% -0.16% +1.44% +1.12% +1.28% +1.92% -0.64% -0.32% WIN
2025-02-07 09:28:33 $3.1 -0.23% - - -1.46% - +0.65% -2.26% - LOSS
2025-02-06 09:27:36 $3.14 +0.64% +0.33% +0.07% -0.32% -1.27% +1.27% -0.23% - WIN
2025-02-04 09:28:22 $3.14 -0.16% -0.96% +0.35% +0.63% +0.64% +2.23% -1.91% -0.96% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:25:35 $3.02 -0.66% +0.63% +1.52% +3.31% +1.99% +4.30% -2.32% -0.66% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:28:22 $3.15 +0.17% +0.27% -0.48% -0.23% -1.27% +0.95% -1.27% -0.95% WIN
2025-01-30 09:25:21 $3.23 +0.02% +0.11% -0.15% -0.46% -2.79% +1.24% -0.93% +0.62% WIN
2025-01-28 09:28:34 $3.28 -0.30% -0.95% - +1.07% +0.61% +1.83% -1.83% -0.61% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:27:07 $3.37 +0.57% +2.16% +2.02% +0.77% -3.56% +2.97% -0.30% +0.59% WIN
2025-01-24 09:28:44 $3.42 +1.49% +1.59% +0.85% +1.32% - +2.34% -0.29% - WIN
2025-01-23 09:25:21 $3.39 -0.89% -0.30% +1.10% +1.03% +0.59% +2.36% -1.33% -0.59% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:26:36 $3.49 -0.14% +0.79% +0.72% +0.48% -2.87% +1.72% -0.43% - LOSS
2025-01-21 09:25:09 $3.52 -0.14% +0.26% +0.14% +0.85% -1.14% +1.70% -1.70% -0.57% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:28:20 $3.64 +1.37% +0.59% +2.21% +2.61% -3.85% +3.57% -1.10% -0.27% WIN
2025-01-16 09:28:37 $3.53 -0.88% -0.93% -0.42% +1.56% +1.42% +3.40% -2.55% -0.57% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:28:57 $3.31 +0.76% +0.76% -1.81% -1.96% +6.04% +8.76% -3.02% +0.30% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 60.8% Baseline on AMC

The 60.8% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AMC's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AMC Strategy →

Why Analyze AMC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AMC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AMC historically offers an average upside of +4.11% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AMC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.8%, AMC shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AMC performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +256.63%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.