FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

AMCR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 52 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-01 → 2025-01-31

⚠️ Small sample size (52 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 11, 2019 🔗 www.amcor.com
💰 Market Cap: $20.44B 👥 Employees: 77,000
Amcor is a global producer of plastic packaging primarily for the fast-moving consumer goods industry. About 90% of earnings are exposed to the flexible packaging business. This is soft disposable plastic for a variety of food, drink, healthcare, and hygiene products. The remainder of earnings are from the Latin and North American rigids business, which is primarily beverage bottling for the soft drink industry. Operating in more than 35 countries, Amcor has market share in its established regions of North America, Latin America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific. About half of group sales are derived from North America and the remainder is split equally between Western Europe and emerging markets. Australia and New Zealand sales make up less than 5% of group sales.
📊
52
Total Alerts
🎯
48.1%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.03%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.01%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 48.1%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.57%
Avg Loser: -0.52%
Best: +1.27%
Worst: -1.91%
Trades: 25/24

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.2%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.62%
Avg Loser: -0.72%
Best: +2.69%
Worst: -2.18%
Trades: 23/28

30MIN

Win Rate: 42.3%
Avg Gain: -0.24%
Avg Winner: +0.69%
Avg Loser: -0.92%
Best: +2.38%
Worst: -2.51%
Trades: 22/30

60MIN

Win Rate: 42.3%
Avg Gain: -0.20%
Avg Winner: +0.80%
Avg Loser: -0.96%
Best: +3.38%
Worst: -3.36%
Trades: 22/29

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.4%
Avg Gain: -0.20%
Avg Winner: +1.04%
Avg Loser: -1.07%
Best: +3.48%
Worst: -3.51%
Trades: 21/30

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.01%
Best MFE: +5.12%
Avg Time to MFE: 102 min

On average, AMCR alerts reach +1.01% profit potential within 102 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.50%
Worst MAE: -2.93%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.50%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.02:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.02x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 52 alerts, AMCR typically reaches +1.01% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 52
Gap Up % 42.3%
Avg Gap -0.04%
Best Gap +1.31%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MISCELLANEOUS MANUFACTURING INDUSTRIES

How AMCR compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AMCR: +0.03% Sector: +0.06% -0.02%
EOD Gain
AMCR: -0.20% Sector: -0.62% +0.42%
Avg MFE
AMCR: +1.01% Sector: +2.91% -1.90%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AMCR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-31 09:29:39 $9.72 +0.05% +0.16% -0.15% +0.57% - +0.72% -0.51% +0.21% WIN
2025-01-24 09:27:36 $9.78 -0.10% -0.15% -0.26% +0.05% -0.20% +0.41% -0.41% +0.10% LOSS
2024-12-23 09:29:02 $9.39 -0.27% -0.59% -0.32% +0.27% +0.43% +0.64% -0.75% -0.32% LOSS
2024-12-18 09:28:18 $9.73 -0.26% -0.41% -0.26% -0.21% -2.98% +0.21% -0.87% -0.82% LOSS
2024-12-17 09:25:03 $9.84 -1.32% -0.15% -0.61% -0.56% -1.12% -0.10% -1.52% -1.02% LOSS
2024-12-06 09:27:12 $10.27 +0.34% - +0.15% -0.39% -0.88% +0.54% -0.10% -0.10% WIN
2024-12-03 09:27:23 $10.57 -0.09% -0.24% -0.14% - -0.09% +0.47% -0.57% -0.47% LOSS
2024-12-02 09:29:45 $10.76 -1.91% -2.18% -2.14% -2.42% -1.77% -1.16% -1.49% -1.30% LOSS
2024-11-20 09:25:27 $10.13 +0.35% +0.35% +0.20% +0.69% +2.07% +2.37% -0.30% +0.39% WIN
2024-11-19 09:29:26 $10.25 -0.05% -1.12% -1.93% -1.71% -3.51% +1.85% -0.49% -0.10% LOSS
2024-11-18 09:28:57 $10.21 +0.15% +0.45% +0.44% -0.22% -0.59% +0.68% -0.10% +0.29% WIN
2024-11-01 09:29:15 $10.43 +0.62% -0.77% -1.95% -2.16% -1.63% +1.92% -0.77% +0.29% WIN
2024-10-11 09:27:42 $11.1 +0.87% +0.50% +0.45% +0.59% +0.81% +0.99% +0.32% +0.45% WIN
2024-08-12 09:28:50 $10.56 +0.24% +0.28% +0.05% +0.28% -0.57% +0.57% +0.09% +0.09% WIN
2024-07-09 09:29:59 $9.53 +0.49% +0.31% +0.42% +0.84% +0.31% +1.36% +0.52% +0.52% WIN
2024-05-01 09:28:11 $9.47 +1.27% +0.26% +2.38% +3.38% +3.48% +5.12% -1.80% +0.95% WIN
2024-04-12 09:29:19 $9.07 -0.55% -0.39% -0.72% -1.16% -1.76% - -0.99% -0.66% LOSS
2024-03-22 09:25:36 $9.25 +0.54% +0.54% +0.65% +0.70% -0.22% +0.97% - +0.43% WIN
2024-03-20 09:28:45 $9.13 +0.55% +0.49% +0.66% +0.77% +0.22% +2.63% -1.53% - WIN
2024-03-18 09:28:08 $9.5 - -0.47% -0.05% +0.32% -0.84% +0.53% -0.63% -0.42% -

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 48.1% Baseline on AMCR

The 48.1% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AMCR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AMCR Strategy →

Why Analyze AMCR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AMCR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AMCR historically offers an average upside of +1.01% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AMCR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 48.1%, AMCR shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AMCR performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.03%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.