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ARRY Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 71 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-04-06 → 2025-01-29

⚠️ Small sample size (71 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Array Technologies, Inc. Common Stock MISCELLANEOUS MANUFACTURING INDUSTRIES (SIC 3990)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 15, 2020 🔗 www.arraytechinc.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.61B 👥 Employees: 1,021
Array Technologies Inc manufacturer of ground-mounting systems used in solar energy projects. The company's segments include: the Array legacy operating segment (Array Legacy Operations) and the STI Operations operating segment (STI Operations). It derives maximum revenue from the Array legacy operating segment. Its product is an integrated system of steel supports, electric motors, gearboxes and electronic controllers referred to as a single-axis tracker that move solar panels throughout the day to maintain an optimal orientation to the sun, which increases their energy production. Geographically, the company's operations are in the United States, Australia, Spain, Brazil and Rest of the World with the United States deriving the majority of the revenue.
📊
71
Total Alerts
🎯
48.6%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.00%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+3.93%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 48.6%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +1.80%
Avg Loser: -1.75%
Best: +7.43%
Worst: -9.01%
Trades: 34/35

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.1%
Avg Gain: -0.45%
Avg Winner: +2.49%
Avg Loser: -3.08%
Best: +12.80%
Worst: -13.06%
Trades: 33/37

30MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.57%
Avg Winner: +2.99%
Avg Loser: -3.24%
Best: +15.09%
Worst: -12.22%
Trades: 30/40

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.7%
Avg Gain: -0.44%
Avg Winner: +3.07%
Avg Loser: -3.40%
Best: +17.58%
Worst: -14.00%
Trades: 32/38

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 36.6%
Avg Gain: -0.88%
Avg Winner: +3.87%
Avg Loser: -3.71%
Best: +12.82%
Worst: -14.53%
Trades: 26/44

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.93%
Best MFE: +18.62%
Avg Time to MFE: 87 min

On average, ARRY alerts reach +3.93% profit potential within 87 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.80%
Worst MAE: -13.24%
Avg Time to MAE: 14 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.80%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.18:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.18x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 71 alerts, ARRY typically reaches +3.93% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 71
Gap Up % 43.7%
Avg Gap -0.13%
Best Gap +2.01%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MISCELLANEOUS MANUFACTURING INDUSTRIES

How ARRY compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ARRY: -0.00% Sector: +0.06% -0.06%
EOD Gain
ARRY: -0.86% Sector: -0.62% -0.24%
Avg MFE
ARRY: +3.92% Sector: +2.91% +1.01%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ARRY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-29 09:27:56 $7.35 -3.95% -3.81% -2.45% -2.79% -2.72% +0.68% -0.68% -0.41% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:25:32 $6.45 -1.55% +1.63% -0.15% -0.15% -0.31% +2.48% -2.79% -1.86% LOSS
2024-11-08 09:29:44 $6.19 +2.70% -0.19% +1.94% +6.30% -2.42% +8.56% +0.00% +0.32% WIN
2024-11-07 09:29:27 $6.05 +0.99% +1.24% -0.17% +1.74% +2.48% +5.29% -1.82% -1.49% WIN
2024-11-06 09:26:10 $6.75 -5.93% -9.85% -12.22% -7.13% -12.00% -0.15% -3.55% -1.48% LOSS
2024-11-01 09:29:35 $6.56 - +1.22% +0.99% +3.20% +2.13% +3.58% -0.61% +1.22% -
2024-09-11 09:27:47 $5.85 +3.25% +4.44% +5.04% +7.95% +12.82% +13.50% - +0.51% WIN
2024-08-15 09:28:14 $6.68 +0.22% -1.35% -1.12% +1.35% -2.69% +5.09% -1.20% -0.15% WIN
2024-08-09 09:27:28 $7.94 -0.38% -2.39% -6.74% -12.28% -10.58% +0.76% -1.39% - LOSS
2024-07-12 09:27:46 $11.76 +1.28% -0.77% -3.57% -2.64% - +2.55% -0.64% -0.09% WIN
2024-06-28 09:28:35 $10.66 -0.14% +0.33% -1.69% -2.35% -3.75% +1.78% -2.06% +0.28% LOSS
2024-05-10 09:29:11 $14.93 -9.01% -13.06% -11.65% -14.00% -14.53% -0.54% -5.43% -0.54% LOSS
2024-04-03 09:27:01 $14.06 +1.07% -1.21% -0.32% +0.75% +2.42% +3.20% -1.46% +0.07% WIN
2024-04-02 09:28:46 $14.77 -1.62% -2.27% -1.29% -1.79% -3.93% +0.74% -2.44% +0.74% LOSS
2024-02-28 09:29:12 $12.97 +3.70% +12.80% +7.71% +7.79% +8.71% +13.65% - +0.23% WIN
2024-02-21 09:27:54 $13.95 -0.54% -0.79% -0.54% -1.65% -1.22% +0.43% -1.25% -0.36% LOSS
2024-02-01 00:00:00 $14.09 - - - - -2.63% +4.68% -2.06% +0.21% -
2023-12-19 09:25:00 $18.78 -2.45% -3.09% -2.88% -2.08% -1.76% +0.72% -2.45% -0.27% LOSS
2023-12-14 09:29:00 $19.38 +3.77% +0.52% -0.05% -1.60% -0.72% +3.97% -0.98% - WIN
2023-11-30 09:26:00 $15.15 -2.01% -2.94% -2.38% -0.20% +2.11% +3.17% -3.50% -0.92% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ ARRY Shows Negative Expectancy

With 48.6% win rate and -0.00% average gain, ARRY alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider ARRY for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze ARRY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ARRY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ARRY historically offers an average upside of +3.93% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ARRY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 48.6%, ARRY shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: ARRY shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.00%). This suggests ARRY is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.