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AMCX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-06-07 → 2024-06-18

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 16, 2011 🔗 www.amcnetworks.com
💰 Market Cap: $346.0M 👥 Employees: 1,800
AMC Networks owns several linear pay-TV networks, including AMC, WE tv, BBC America, IFC, and SundanceTV. AMC, its most widely distributed network, reached 60 million pay-TV households in the US at the end of 2024. The firm also had nearly 12.5 million US streaming subscribers, with AMC+ as the flagship streaming platform. With both its linear networks and streaming offerings, the firm caters to specific niche audiences. Over the last 15 years, AMC has shifted its focus to original scripted programming from classic movies. It creates content through AMC Studios and also generates revenue from licensing content. Following an international divestiture at the end of 2023, domestic operations make up nearly 90% of total revenue.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.98%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+5.52%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.98%
Avg Winner: +2.69%
Avg Loser: -0.73%
Best: +2.69%
Worst: -0.73%
Trades: 1/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.53%
Avg Winner: +3.65%
Avg Loser: -0.58%
Best: +3.65%
Worst: -0.58%
Trades: 1/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.77%
Avg Winner: +4.08%
Avg Loser: -2.54%
Best: +4.08%
Worst: -2.54%
Trades: 1/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +2.80%
Avg Winner: +7.56%
Avg Loser: -1.95%
Best: +7.56%
Worst: -1.95%
Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +2.75%
Avg Winner: +9.64%
Avg Loser: -4.15%
Best: +9.64%
Worst: -4.15%
Trades: 1/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.52%
Best MFE: +11.03%
Avg Time to MFE: 103 min

On average, AMCX alerts reach +5.52% profit potential within 103 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: +0.08%
Worst MAE: -0.10%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.08%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

67.73:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 67.73x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, AMCX typically reaches +5.52% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap -0.07%
Best Gap +0.26%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CABLE & OTHER PAY TELEVISION SERVICES

How AMCX compares to 10 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AMCX: +0.98% Sector: +0.08% +0.90%
EOD Gain
AMCX: +2.75% Sector: +0.22% +2.53%
Avg MFE
AMCX: +5.52% Sector: +2.68% +2.84%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AMCX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-06-18 09:25:46 $10.24 -0.73% -0.58% -2.54% -1.95% -4.15% - -0.10% -0.39% LOSS
2023-06-07 09:25:00 $11.51 +2.69% +3.65% +4.08% +7.56% +9.64% +11.03% +0.26% +0.26% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.0% Baseline on AMCX

The 50.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AMCX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AMCX Strategy →

Why Analyze AMCX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AMCX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AMCX historically offers an average upside of +5.52% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AMCX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, AMCX shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AMCX performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.98%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.