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AMDL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 123 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-04-15 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

GraniteShares 2x Long AMD Daily ETF
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 18, 2024
📊
123
Total Alerts
🎯
42.3%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.34%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+2.89%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.7%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +1.32%
Avg Loser: -1.44%
Best: +6.51%
Worst: -4.68%
Trades: 50/70

15MIN

Win Rate: 42.3%
Avg Gain: -0.34%
Avg Winner: +1.86%
Avg Loser: -2.00%
Best: +13.37%
Worst: -7.58%
Trades: 52/69

30MIN

Win Rate: 40.7%
Avg Gain: -0.42%
Avg Winner: +2.03%
Avg Loser: -2.13%
Best: +19.54%
Worst: -6.37%
Trades: 50/72

60MIN

Win Rate: 38.2%
Avg Gain: -0.64%
Avg Winner: +2.47%
Avg Loser: -2.56%
Best: +18.08%
Worst: -8.17%
Trades: 47/76

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 39.8%
Avg Gain: -0.95%
Avg Winner: +3.45%
Avg Loser: -3.86%
Best: +23.20%
Worst: -16.69%
Trades: 49/74

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.89%
Best MFE: +30.63%
Avg Time to MFE: 97 min

On average, AMDL alerts reach +2.89% profit potential within 97 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.34%
Worst MAE: -7.28%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.34%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.17:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.17x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 123 alerts, AMDL typically reaches +2.89% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 123
Gap Up % 28.5%
Avg Gap -0.15%
Best Gap +2.93%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AMDL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:25:32 $6.37 +1.62% +1.96% +3.38% +2.66% +1.41% +4.16% - +0.63% WIN
2025-02-13 09:26:11 $6.42 -1.71% -0.05% +1.87% +1.33% -1.40% +3.43% -2.65% -1.25% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:27:11 $6.11 -0.98% +0.57% +0.08% +2.09% +3.44% +3.60% -1.39% -0.16% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:26:57 $6.04 +1.57% +1.89% +3.73% +3.39% +3.48% +7.28% -0.66% -0.50% WIN
2025-02-10 09:25:05 $5.91 +1.06% +2.97% +2.32% +4.49% +4.40% +6.26% - +0.85% WIN
2025-02-07 09:28:33 $6.03 +0.84% +0.46% +0.33% -2.56% -2.65% +1.66% -0.66% +0.17% WIN
2025-02-06 09:29:49 $6.25 +2.40% -1.28% -1.28% -1.71% -1.60% +2.88% -1.12% -0.16% WIN
2025-02-05 09:26:52 $5.95 -3.70% -2.19% -1.34% -2.86% +7.23% +7.23% -4.04% -1.68% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:29:57 $6.83 +0.44% -0.81% +1.02% +2.54% +7.03% +7.03% -1.27% -0.15% WIN
2025-02-03 09:26:52 $6.57 +0.61% +1.14% +1.52% +2.28% +1.52% +3.35% -0.54% +0.76% WIN
2025-01-31 09:28:31 $7.24 +0.66% -1.66% -1.04% +0.00% -4.97% +1.10% -0.83% +0.41% WIN
2025-01-30 09:29:49 $7.19 +2.23% +2.02% +0.77% -1.22% +0.70% +3.34% +0.14% +0.14% WIN
2025-01-29 09:25:20 $6.85 +0.29% +0.73% +0.44% +2.33% +3.21% +5.11% -1.01% +0.58% WIN
2025-01-28 09:25:31 $6.81 - -2.06% -2.94% -0.66% -1.62% +1.76% -0.88% - -
2025-01-27 09:26:55 $7.17 -1.53% -2.09% -0.84% -1.25% -5.16% +0.14% -4.18% -0.42% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:29:54 $8.0 -1.19% -1.75% -1.64% -2.00% -2.50% +1.08% -0.86% - LOSS
2025-01-23 09:28:51 $7.63 +0.46% +0.55% +1.83% +2.03% +2.49% +3.67% -1.57% -0.13% WIN
2025-01-22 09:29:34 $7.84 -0.38% +0.64% +0.89% +1.21% +0.89% +4.08% -1.98% +0.13% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:29:33 $7.75 -0.13% +1.25% -0.40% -0.58% -0.26% +2.19% -2.06% -0.26% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:29:10 $7.55 +0.60% +1.79% +0.66% +0.46% +1.06% +3.13% -0.40% -0.26% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ AMDL Shows Negative Expectancy

With 42.3% win rate and -0.34% average gain, AMDL alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider AMDL for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze AMDL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AMDL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AMDL historically offers an average upside of +2.89% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AMDL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 42.3%, AMDL shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests AMDL may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: AMDL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.34%). This suggests AMDL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.