FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

AME Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 27 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-06 → 2025-01-28

⚠️ Small sample size (27 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 01, 1930 🔗 www.ametek.com
💰 Market Cap: $50.82B 👥 Employees: 21,500
Founded in 1930 and transformed over the decades through the acquisition of dozens of esteemed brands, Ametek owns a collection of over 40 autonomous industrial businesses operating within the research, aerospace, energy, medical, and manufacturing industries. Ametek segments its business into two operating groups: the electronic instruments group and the electromechanical group. The EIG sells a broad portfolio of analytical, test, and measurement instruments, while the EMG sells highly engineered components, interconnects, and specialty metals. The company emphasizes product differentiation and market leadership in the niche markets where it operates.
📊
27
Total Alerts
🎯
55.6%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.13%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+0.85%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.52%
Avg Loser: -0.56%
Best: +1.22%
Worst: -1.84%
Trades: 12/14

15MIN

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +0.50%
Avg Loser: -0.92%
Best: +1.04%
Worst: -1.86%
Trades: 15/12

30MIN

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +0.52%
Avg Loser: -0.87%
Best: +1.10%
Worst: -1.85%
Trades: 15/12

60MIN

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: -0.22%
Avg Winner: +0.48%
Avg Loser: -1.09%
Best: +1.13%
Worst: -2.05%
Trades: 15/12

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.84%
Avg Loser: -1.06%
Best: +1.89%
Worst: -4.18%
Trades: 15/12

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.85%
Best MFE: +2.03%
Avg Time to MFE: 186 min

On average, AME alerts reach +0.85% profit potential within 186 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.47%
Worst MAE: -2.39%
Avg Time to MAE: 24 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.47%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.82:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 27 alerts, AME typically reaches +0.85% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 27
Gap Up % 51.9%
Avg Gap -0.06%
Best Gap +1.22%

🏭 Sector Comparison: INDUSTRIAL INSTRUMENTS FOR MEASUREMENT, DISPLAY, AND CONTROL

How AME compares to 13 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AME: -0.06% Sector: -0.36% +0.30%
EOD Gain
AME: -0.00% Sector: +11.32% -11.33%
Avg MFE
AME: +0.85% Sector: +4.19% -3.34%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AME alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-28 09:29:05 $184.95 -0.70% -1.05% -0.69% -1.29% -1.11% -0.25% -0.63% -0.55% LOSS
2024-12-03 09:27:20 $196.06 -0.64% -0.91% -0.75% -0.79% -0.88% -0.08% -0.74% -0.31% LOSS
2024-11-13 09:25:14 $196.99 -1.84% -1.44% -1.27% -0.66% -0.80% -0.15% -2.33% -1.74% LOSS
2024-11-12 09:25:07 $190.41 +1.05% +0.71% +0.37% +0.76% +1.89% +2.03% +0.14% +0.86% WIN
2024-09-18 09:27:01 $168.57 +0.59% +0.57% +0.14% -0.08% +0.51% +1.77% -0.28% +0.55% WIN
2023-12-11 09:26:00 $157.15 +0.43% +0.89% +0.88% +1.13% +0.37% +1.43% +0.41% +0.52% WIN
2023-10-19 09:29:00 $143.96 +0.70% +0.38% +0.50% +0.47% -0.22% +1.74% +0.11% +0.52% WIN
2023-09-26 09:28:00 $152.51 -0.07% -0.34% -0.89% -1.69% -2.12% +0.34% -0.52% -0.52% LOSS
2023-09-25 09:28:00 $151.66 +0.60% +0.36% +0.45% +0.46% +0.56% +1.15% -0.40% -0.40% WIN
2023-09-19 09:26:00 $152.47 -0.27% -0.16% +0.02% +0.02% +0.12% +0.45% -0.66% -0.28% LOSS
2023-09-18 09:27:00 $151.63 +0.10% +0.20% +0.51% +0.63% +0.55% +1.64% -0.02% +0.10% WIN
2023-09-06 09:28:00 $157.12 -0.25% +0.01% +0.20% +0.36% -0.01% +0.84% -0.41% +0.09% LOSS
2023-08-18 09:27:00 $152.1 +0.28% +0.84% +0.75% +1.05% +1.54% +1.83% -0.32% +0.30% WIN
2023-06-27 09:26:00 $157.45 -0.01% +0.27% +0.08% +0.38% +1.35% +1.53% -0.14% +0.14% LOSS
2023-06-22 09:26:00 $155.11 +0.61% +0.48% +0.57% +0.33% +0.59% +1.24% +0.77% +0.93% WIN
2023-06-05 09:28:00 $150.81 -0.33% -0.49% -0.88% -1.56% -1.34% -0.07% -0.20% -0.20% LOSS
2023-05-04 09:26:00 $144.58 -0.09% -0.81% -0.56% -0.93% -1.15% +0.15% -0.09% -0.06% LOSS
2022-09-06 09:25:00 $117.83 - +0.21% -0.22% -0.33% +1.43% +1.50% -0.73% +0.18% -
2022-07-21 09:25:00 $113.82 +0.04% +0.15% +1.10% +0.25% +1.59% +1.63% -0.40% +0.04% WIN
2022-07-05 09:25:00 $111.46 -1.44% -1.86% -1.85% -1.98% -0.05% +0.04% -2.39% -1.14% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ AME Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 55.6% win rate, AME has -0.13% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making AME profitable.

🔧 Fix AME Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze AME with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AME. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AME historically offers an average upside of +0.85% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AME Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.6%, AME shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.92%) outweigh average wins (+0.50%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: AME shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.13%). This suggests AME is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.