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AMGN Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 82 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-18 → 2025-02-03
⚠️ Small sample size (82 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, AMGN alerts reach +1.16% profit potential within 149 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.44%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.65x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 82 alerts, AMGN typically reaches +1.16% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)
How AMGN compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical AMGN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-03 | 09:27:25 | $286.94 | -0.16% | -0.06% | -1.06% | +0.08% | +0.67% | +0.92% | -1.23% | -0.01% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:25:27 | $277.98 | +0.25% | +0.81% | +0.30% | +0.17% | +1.79% | +1.89% | -0.65% | -0.22% | WIN |
| 2025-01-23 | 09:25:11 | $273.54 | -0.18% | -0.06% | -0.21% | -0.11% | +1.59% | +1.63% | -0.45% | -0.04% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-06 | 09:26:29 | $260.92 | -0.58% | -0.23% | -0.46% | -0.31% | -0.89% | +0.10% | -1.04% | -0.72% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-24 | 09:25:13 | $262.54 | +0.12% | -0.16% | -0.11% | +0.40% | +0.74% | +0.77% | -0.45% | -0.02% | WIN |
| 2024-12-20 | 09:27:57 | $269.02 | -2.16% | -0.69% | -0.19% | -1.52% | -2.10% | +0.55% | -0.57% | -0.01% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-12 | 09:26:36 | $273.01 | +0.50% | +0.91% | +0.42% | +0.75% | +0.38% | +1.05% | -0.16% | +0.29% | WIN |
| 2024-12-11 | 09:28:53 | $274.53 | +0.32% | +0.37% | +0.17% | -0.57% | -0.41% | +0.64% | -0.08% | +0.54% | WIN |
| 2024-12-06 | 09:26:40 | $275.1 | -1.12% | -0.72% | -0.59% | -0.78% | -0.92% | +0.35% | - | -0.03% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-03 | 09:28:28 | $277.52 | +0.34% | +0.48% | +0.71% | +0.26% | +0.29% | +1.39% | -0.37% | -0.19% | WIN |
| 2024-11-27 | 09:26:18 | $277.21 | +1.00% | +1.48% | +0.69% | +1.35% | +1.03% | +1.98% | +0.28% | +0.65% | WIN |
| 2024-11-26 | 09:25:59 | $260.94 | +1.46% | +0.21% | +1.29% | -0.86% | +7.31% | +7.43% | -1.20% | +1.26% | WIN |
| 2024-11-20 | 09:27:57 | $277.35 | +1.24% | +0.68% | +1.05% | +1.08% | +3.79% | +4.01% | +0.44% | +1.35% | WIN |
| 2024-11-13 | 09:27:17 | $308.1 | -0.73% | -1.29% | -1.48% | -2.55% | -2.16% | -0.22% | -1.87% | -0.68% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-11 | 09:27:50 | $325.89 | +0.30% | +0.29% | +0.15% | -0.35% | -1.25% | +0.52% | -0.63% | +0.01% | WIN |
| 2024-09-26 | 09:25:10 | $312.34 | +0.81% | +0.68% | +0.90% | +1.48% | +2.16% | +2.38% | +0.12% | +0.43% | WIN |
| 2024-08-12 | 09:28:25 | $323.61 | -0.18% | -0.86% | -1.25% | -1.23% | -1.12% | +0.09% | -0.57% | +0.09% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-18 | 09:25:45 | $334.51 | -0.09% | +0.39% | +0.68% | +0.95% | -1.06% | +1.34% | -0.30% | -0.09% | LOSS |
| 2024-06-03 | 09:25:37 | $305.94 | +0.21% | +0.33% | +1.31% | +1.50% | +0.48% | +1.81% | -0.30% | +0.28% | WIN |
| 2024-05-10 | 09:27:20 | $313.5 | -0.45% | -0.40% | -0.22% | +0.12% | -1.07% | +0.44% | -0.84% | -0.19% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ AMGN Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 57.3% win rate, AMGN has -0.01% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making AMGN profitable.
🔧 Fix AMGN Risk/Reward →Why Analyze AMGN with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AMGN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, AMGN historically offers an average upside of +1.16% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 AMGN Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 57.3%, AMGN shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.94%) outweigh average wins (+0.68%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: AMGN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.01%). This suggests AMGN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.